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Based on all I have read, there certainly will be a cataclysmic collapse of
the US market bubbles (real estate & equity). I believe sooner rather than
later. If they inflate higher before the break, it is still no reason to
take the great risk and try to trade them. I am patiently waiting for low
risk entry points & key support to be broken before I short the bubbles in
size.
I prefer to trade in the direction of the fundamentals and technicals.
The mess that Greenspan and the Reagan/Bush and Clinton presidencies have
created will take generations and massive suffering to resolve.
To everyone readign this, I hope your financial house is are in order.
If you do not know the real deal on this massive government fraud, check
out my web site at
http://www.advsoftware.com
see the economics section, The Coming Greatest Depression.
James
---------
At 09:01 AM 9/20/99 +0100, you wrote:
>These are all great arguments, make perfect sense, and we now are waiting
for
>the big summer sale, eah, autum sale... or will it be the winter sale?
>
>Actually, since I have been quite an addicted doomsayer for a number of
years
>myself, I know now from experience that these arguments although very
valid are
>usually quite irrelevant, because sometimes things do happen as feared, and
>sometimes (often) they just don't. One can go quite crazy trying to analyze
>things to death, because the markets have a way to do their thing not yours.
>One can become a great analyst, and yet a poor trader. Analysis and
trading are
>two different almost opposing businesses.
>
>What I do now, is just to keep track of all these analysis. When a predicted
>thing has been touted so for quite some time, and nothing happens, or the
>market is just in a waiting mode, like sort of now in the US, then it is
>usually a sign there will be yet another breakout opposite from the
expected,
>which can be interesting to trade. That is how one can end up having one
>opinion and have an opposite position. I found out, this happens quite
often...
>I include that in the "Divorce your ego" rule.
>
>Cheers to all,
>
>Gwenn
>
>| -----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----
>| Von: BobsKC [SMTP:bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx]
>| Gesendet am: Saturday, September 18, 1999 5:04 PM
>| An: Kohath; realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx
>| Betreff: Re: Great Bull Market
>|
>| Heh.. well, it seems believing this is in vogue and since nearly everyone
>| believes it, we all know that when everyone believes something is about to
>| happen in the equities markets, it always happens, huh? :))) For me,
>| the more likely it seems by looking back on past events, the less likely it
>| is to happen. But then, I'm not a purist techie either.
>|
>| Bob
>|
>|
>| At 08:42 PM 9/17/99 -0700, Kohath wrote:
>| > Some interesting reading, especially for those who beleive we are
still
>| >in the great bull market of the 90's. Did bull market die and Wall
>| >Street miss it? Could there actually, really, be a 20% to 30%
correction
>| >in the next four to six weeks? It's happened before, and all the
>| >indicators are ripe for just such a correction.
|