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<DIV><FONT size=2>This chart is a paraphrased one sent to me by Don Thompson and 
might be worth some attention.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Looking at price is one way, another is cumulative volume on a 
seasonal basis.&nbsp; Seasonals would argue for another sharp down draft or two 
per the attached chart.&nbsp; Points of note on the chart are the points ABC in 
1998 and 1999.&nbsp; Also C1999 is at same level as C1998, meaning virtually all 
the cumulated volume above 1998 high has been given back.&nbsp; This summer has 
been a distribution top as usual.&nbsp; The yellow trendline from the 1998 low 
has been broken to the downside.&nbsp; C1999 is near the 213 day moving average 
as C1998.&nbsp; The 21 and 55 day averages have crossed to the down side and the 
213 is rolling over.&nbsp; Arch Crawford's 1000 point drop could very well be 
immediately ahead of us and take the chart to points D and E.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Incase you traded nasdaq stocks between May 1, 1989 and July 
17, 1996 you might be interested in the NASDAQ Market-Makers Antiturst 
Litigation. <A 
href="http://www.nasdaqlitigation.com";>http://www.nasdaqlitigation.com</A>.&nbsp; 
Most of the major and minor brokerages are listed as defendants.&nbsp; The trust 
amounts to $1,027,000,000.00.&nbsp; Claims must be filed by December 8,1999 if 
you wish to share in the settlement fund.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>BobR</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Ira wrote:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>There&nbsp; have been numerous prognostications as to where 
the Dow is<BR>going.&nbsp; The attached chart indicates a trading 
channnel.&nbsp; The Dow will<BR>not make a mojor move to the down side until 
that trend line is broken.<BR>If there is a 160 point drop in the dow there is 
an 80% probability of<BR>the dow dropping another 140 points.&nbsp; That would 
still leave it above<BR>the trend line. The first target to the upside has been 
met at 10950 and<BR>there is a 70% probability that it will reach 11,130.&nbsp; 
Resistance should<BR>occur between 11100 and 11150. and a retracement of this up 
move could<BR>take place.&nbsp; Now that I am hanging out all the way, let us 
see what<BR>happens.&nbsp; You will notice that I am looking in both directions 
for a<BR>trade.&nbsp; Unidirectional thought can cost a lot of money.&nbsp; Have 
a good<BR>week end.&nbsp;&nbsp; Ira<BR></DIV></FONT></BODY></HTML>
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