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<DIV>Ira may not say much, but he shure doesn't pull and punches.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Have a great weekend everyone</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>
Good luck and good trading,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>
Ray Raffurty</DIV>
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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
Ira Tunik </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A href="mailto:kohath@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=kohath@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>kohath</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Cc:</B> <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 13, 1999 1:29
PM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: Amzn Call/Put 100
Strike</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>That is the exact strategy that cost market makers
millions. Keep it up and one fine day you will be living under a
bridge. Ira.
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</x-html>From ???@??? Fri Aug 13 17:04:49 1999
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From: "Stig O" <olausson@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Sv: stat gif
Date: Fri, 13 Aug 1999 23:23:58 +0200
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Status:
>This is the statistical behaviour of gold with regard to trendchange.
>Would you mind expanding a little about this. Is it the percent of trend
>changes in each month and if so over what time period?
The time period is 1975 to now and we were looking at a 10% swingchart (all swings were 10% or greater).
The 17,3% you saw for march, means that of all the trendchanges that took place between 1975 and now, 17.3% took place in the month of March. (We had a total of 75 trendchanges 13 took place in March)
I was using continuous contract rolling over at end of expiration, using Unfair Advantage data.
But take a look at this one. This is a 15% percent swingchart using cash gold and daily data.from 1975
68% of all trendchanges took place in the 4 months feb/mar and Aug/sep or 19 of a total of 28 T/Cs
regards
Stig
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