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T-Bonds and Directional Movement



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I have begun playing around with predicting 
T-Bond directional movement w/ neural nets.&nbsp; The best I can do after a few 
days of work is to achieve roughly 80%+ accuracy of knowing if the Open tomorrow 
(t+1) is higher or lower than the Opening yesterday (t-1) just after the market 
Opens today (t=0).&nbsp; Or about 75%+ accuracy of knowing if the Open in two 
days (t+2) is higher or lower than the Open today (t=0) after the close of the 
market today (t=0).&nbsp; Can anyone shed light as to whether or not this could 
be useful in trading T-Bonds in any meaningful fashion? Thanks, 
Brian</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sat Aug 07 11:25:06 1999
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Subject: Re: Inside Bars
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Chris and all,

One way to trade inside bars is through a trend filter. Here are
the rules for a simple one:

UPTREND exists if the last occurrence in the market was high greater
than highest high of 4 previous bars and close greater than the close
of the previous bar.

DOWNTREND exists if the last occurrence in the market was low less
than lowest low of 4 previous bars and close less than close of
previous bar.

Looking for these occurrences creates a series of thrusts that can
be counted. Look for your inside days and trade only in the direction
of the current trend bias. (see chart)

Walt Downs
http://www.tacticalmarkets.com
> 
> Does anyone in the group use inside bars as part of their setups for an
> intermediate-term movement?  I would be interested in exchanging strategies.
> 
> Chris

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