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One Fed statistic I monitor weekly is the foreign central bank treasury
holdings on deposit with the Fed. They had reached a peak about 12-18 months
ago from which they declined by about 10% over a 6 month period. Since then,
they have remained relatively stable and I've seen no evidence of
liquidation of treasuries by foreign central banks.
Earl
----- Original Message -----
From: Bradley C. Mitchell <bradmit@xxxxxxxx>
To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, May 17, 1999 8:48 PM
Subject: RE: Interest rates?
> Has any foreign influence in the selling of bonds, particullarly the
> Japanese, driven the bond market down? A while back their was a string
> about the japanese getting ready to dump us bonds and head for home.
>
> Just a thought
>
> Brad
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > [mailto:owner-realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Ira
> > Sent: Monday, May 17, 1999 10:30 PM
> > To: RealTraders Discussion Group
> > Subject: Re: Interest rates?
> >
> >
> > I guess there is a 60% probability of interest rates going to 6.3% then.
> > Ira.
> >
> > swp wrote:
> >
> > > Assuming away basis changes and no change in CTD, 115-06 would be
around
> > > 6.10% and 112-18 about 6.30%
> > >
> > > Ira wrote:
> > > >
> > > > What would be the interest rate if the June bond went to 115-06?
> > > > What would it be at 112-18? Ira
> > >
> > > --
> > > Steven W. Poser, President
> > > Poser Global Market Strategies Inc.
> > > http://www.poserglobal.com
> > >
> > > Tel: 201-995-0845
> > > Fax: 201-995-0846
> > > Email: swp@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >
> >
>
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