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I thought I would post something on trading - a change to discussions on
hardware, software, where to get cheap quotes, political discussions etc
etc.
The fun thing about posting, is that you never know what kind of response
you will get, but usually it will not be what you expected (i.e. Thomas'
reply...). You will also notice shortcommings in your logic And often
people will ask you for more, a lot of extra work you thought you wouldn't
have to do (JW, what does <bg> mean?).
Anyway, keep on posting!
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> So to summarize - we might go up or we might go down? <bg>
>
> JW
Exactly my thought - but the point was, that it will do so in a volatile
fashion. Which could be useful for option buyers, espeially since
volatility is in the lower end ( 2 year high=14% Low=7% Last=9%).
A Straddle for instance, where you benefit from both rising and falling
prices (and rising volatility, which I expect).
Another possibillity would be to use a stop and reverse tactic if my
initial position doesn't work out, I move the other way, instead of a
plain stoploss, where you only take your loss and wait for another
opportunitey some other time..
In my experience, failures often generates volatile movements in the
oposite direction of the failure, and (to re-cap) on March 3 and 4 we had
US9H close twice below important Dynamic Fib support. A failure to continue
down, would in my opinion cause a violent move UP. However, a failure to
move up, which Fib time projections and astronomical indicators suggest,
will, in my opinion cause a dramatic FALL into the 117 area, perhaps more
dramatic than if we get an UP move, which often is the case.
Yes JW, I wouldn't be surprised if T-Bonds goes UP or Down. (Or why not,
first up THEN down - or vice versa...)
Thomas:
> "If "My Wife Indicator" tells me
> something is up!" as mentioned in your email - what should I do? After
> all, it seems to me that I should be able to realise this myself without
her
> having to tell me.
Enjoyed that one.
Charles,
The moon cycle is for many people quite obvious, but when it comes to
emotional behaviourr tied to planetary apects and clusters of the same it
can appear so random, that if you don't know WHEN to look it's difficult to
see the pattern. For instance, there could be many reasons for Lafontaine's
(German Finance minister) decision to quit. But the fact that he did it and
the way he did it, suggests to a very emotional decision. He just couldn't
take it anymore. The decision came right between 2 weeks of Pesavento
readings (week 10 and 12).
As a matter of fact, Ray Merriman, shows in his book "The Gold Book,
Geocosmic Correlations to Gold Price Cycles" that certain Planetary aspects
are strongly correlated to turning points in gold AND if you have several
clusters in a short period, the turning point tend to fall right between
the time the clusters.(a study from 1975 to 1982).
for instance let's look at Gold and how it reacts Pluto going retrograde
which happend yesterday:
"Given a 5 day orb, this becomes the most powerful associations between
gold prices and geocosmic phenomenon. Major or primary cycles occured in
every case within 6 trading days of Pluto retrograde...It appears that a
powerful cycle will climax close to the date of Pluto going retrograde,
then turn sharply, going in the oposite direction for several weeks,
particularly upwardly, if the cycle is a trough.
Now what does he say about Mars going retrograde which happens 5 days later
on 3/18:
In every instance observed a powerful cycle in gold prices occuredwithin 3
trading days of Mars going retrograde... in the 3rd instance, the highest
price ever achieved in gold occured 3 days trading days after the Mars
retrograde date...when Mars goes retrograde it is likely that something
very dramatic and noteworthy will take place in Gold prices.
Conclusion (Merriman's): Within 3 dtrading days of Mars going retrograde,
powerful cycles in gold prices tend to occur, either culminating or leading
into long term highs and lows (100%)
We also have a new moon on 3/17 some times kicking of new cycles which is
also true for equinox on th 20th. Hmmmmmmmm?
It looks like I got carried away there. Please understand, I am only
pointing to some facts that have happend in the past or present. I am not
trying to convince anybody that this is the holy grail to trading, merely a
tool to perhaps use in connection with TA. I will not go into any arguments
about if this aproach is right or wrong or whatever. We have had that so
many times before on thid list. It's just a hint that something may be up
(Thomas?) this week, or down. Or both (JW?). Anyway it will be interesting
to see how Gold develops.
rgards
stig
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