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Re: phase behavior in price action



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-----Original Message-----
From: Kevin Morgan <kmorgan@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Monday, January 18, 1999 11:30
Subject: GEN: phase behavior in price action


>I've got a notion about market action I'd like some feedback on.

[snip]

>Market price/time graphs exhibit the same thing.  A pattern
>emerges, goes for awhile, then changes, goes for awhile,  changes,
etcetera.
>
>Might it be possible to:
>
>  - build a canonical set of "phase behavior" patterns for a given
market,
>    or even for "all" markets;
>
>  - have an algorithm for "early detection" of probable phase change
and what
>    the new phase type is;
>
>  - select the trading algorithm best suited to the likely phase type;
>
>  - execute that trading algorithm, and make real time adjustments if
>    the phase identification component changes it's mind about what's
up.
>
>Obviously, the key to success is early and accurate detection of phase
>action, combined with the quality of the trading algorithm against that
>type of phase bahavior.