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Re: Bonds



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My system provides 3 targets per cycle move.  For 5 of the past 10 years I
tracked each calculation. I simply divided the number of times each target was
reached, by the number of times that it was calculated.  There are some other
factors that impact the probability of a target being hit  Have a good holiday.
Ira.

robin hall wrote:

> hi ira do what method do you use to calculate the probability numbers. today
> thebonds put i n alow of 125-24 to close at126-10.so far congrats
>
> seasons greetings
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Ira <ist@xxxxxx>
> To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Date: Tuesday, December 15, 1998 1:05 PM
> Subject: Bonds
>
> >Well the 80% probability of 129-18 has been reached. The 70% probability
> >numbers are 129-12 and 129-04 with a 60% probability of 128-23.
> >
> >