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Tom,
The point I see here is the exploration of the idea that the
Gregorian calendar month beginning/end is the "coincidence", the
incorrect, or simply incomplete paradigm. You bring up a good caution,
but that very paradigm is the one we are exploring the possibility of
escaping. One might say that the lunar cycle results look good only
because the interval approximates the 28 day cycle of option expiry.
Would that invalidate it, or only reinforce it and make it all the more
useful? Are all three cycles, lunar, solar, and expiry valid, and in
need of consideration? What I am saying is that the validity of one does
not disprove the other, and we cannot simultaneously make a step forward
and hold our ground.
Darrin
>Please, consider the following when getting excited about the full
>moon..new moon trading pattern.............
>
>Are the trades that work out also, trades that are buying either near
>the end of the month or the beginning of the month???????
>
>Sometimes we look at incidences that are coincidences......if we do
>not take into account other incidences that occur at the same time as
>the one we are focused on we may be missing the "real" cause of what
>we are plotting......of course, it doesn't matter if you can make
>money at it....unless something else is occurring that could make us
>more money and be more accurate............
>
>
>Tom
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