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Just rechecked my figures and the projections I made middle of last year were
progression of targets with each new target valid if previous target taken out:
5.5%, 5.0% and 3.8% over next couple of years. Steven provided a rough
approximation of 8bpt per bond point which would yield long term targets of
around 132 and 148 assuming 5.5% is taken out. Don't see this chart in my gif
directory so I probably did not post it previously.
Earl
-----Original Message-----
From: BrentinUtahsDixie <brente@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Thursday, June 25, 1998 1:32 PM
Subject: Re: Fut: Bonds targets.
Ulrich,
Thanks for the reply, several have asked how I came up with the targets so
I'm sending out a .gif showing my thinking. The blue fib. range is a repeat
of the former red range. Your points about the Japanese situation are well
considered.
Brent
----------
> From: Eckardt <bullcom@xxxxxxxx>
> To: brente@xxxxxxxxxxxx; RealTraders Discussion Group
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: Re: Fut: Bonds targets.
> Date: Thursday, June 25, 1998 11:05 AM
>
> Brent ,
>
> I donīt know how you come up with this taget, but if the Japanese donīt
> do anything significant the market will gain confidence in going on with
> the yen lower - much lower. So your bond targets can very well be hit.
>
> And since the japanese still try to protect their markets, it could be
> sooner than later. July 12th will be a key date to watch.
>
> Good luck - Ulrich
>
>
>
>
>
> BrentinUtahsDixie wrote:
>
> > RT's,
> >
> > I see a LT target of at least 128 and maybe 131-132 area for US Bonds.
> > I
> > got lost in all of those counts. Any concurrence/disagreement?
> >
> > Brent
>
>
>
>
Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\BDMOHIST.gif"
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