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Re: MKT - VIX LEVELS



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MRLYNNG@xxxxxxx wrote:

> In a message dated 98-05-26 18:02:18 EDT, you write:
>
> <<       In the most recent issue of the NCGR Magazine, Spring 1998, there
>  is an excellent research article by Ken Gillman, "Stations of the Moon",
>  which supports a theory long held by me that the volatility of the stock
>  market is in part a function of the 18.6 year cycle in Lunar Declination
>  and the Lunar Nodes.This cycle would have correctly forecasted the a
>  high for VIX in 1987 and a low for VIX for 1995-96.
>  The long term trend for stock market volatility should now be in the
>  increase until about 2005. >>
> ****************************************
> Norman:
> Are you saying that the declination of the moon along with the location of the
> lunar nodes helps to determine the volatility of the stock markets?  If so
> wouldn't it also have an effect on market direction?
>
> Can you give an example of how  "This cycle would have correctly forecasted
> the a
>  high for VIX in 1987 and a low for VIX for 1995-96."  It doesn't seem to make
> sense except for the mean nodes being in opposite signs of Aries & Libra.
> Thanks for your help.
> Lynn,

      Yes, you are on the right track. The amplitude of the Moon's declination
gradually increases for9.3 years and then graduallly decreases for 9.3 years as a
function of the Moon's North Node Cycle.
The mimimum Lunar Dec. Amplitude occurs when the Moon's North Node reaches 0
degrees Libra.
The maximum Lunar Dec. Amplitude occurs when the Moon's North Norde reaches 0
degrees Aries.
Basic Astrological principles tells us that the Moon has to do with emotiional
response. It is a small step
to infer that the amplitude of the Moon's Declination should have something to do
with the amplitude of
peoples emotions which would translate into the market via market volatility, i.e.
large Lunar declination corresponds with high market volatility. This is what I
found to be the case when I did  a cursory study on this 20 years ago and has now
been stastically proven by the NCGR, Ken Gillman research report. As for market
direction, there has not yet been any indication of market direction based on the
Lunar Nodes.
     By the way, thanks for your response and questions. I was amazed that very
few responded to this
most important research. When one considers that one of the two most important
risk factors to trading
is volatility, one would think that traders  would be thirsting for anything that
could give them some future long term indication of volatity. But, maybe they are
just too busy worrying about their two and three day oscillators?

Nodingly,

Norman