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Re: Mechanical Trading Respondees To my post of 1/3/97


  • To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: Mechanical Trading Respondees To my post of 1/3/97
  • From: John Cappello <jvc689@xxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:17:35 -0800 (PST)
  • In-reply-to: <34AFC5D4.52B4@xxxxxxx>

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John Cappello wrote:
> 
> John Cappello wrote:
> >
> > John Cappello wrote:
> > >
> > > John Cappello wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Dear respondees to my mechanical
> > > > trading,                                                 I checked out
> > > > over 100 systems last year. My criteria were as
> > > > follows:
> > > > 1. 100% mechanical
> > > > 2. Acceptable drawdowns
> > > > 3. Acceptable recovery from drawdowns
> > > > 4. Track record                                                     I
> > > > filtered to 4
> > > > systems-                                                      1. Futures
> > > > Pro-cost $800-I selected the 10 best
> > > > historical commodity track records.Even tho
> > > > this method had 10 year record of 100% per year
> > > > I discontinued it because it was in to many
> > > > markets at the same time and was stressful for
> > > > me.
> > > > 2. Trend trader-cost
> > > > $3000
> > > > Historical data was                             outstanding and probably
> > > > is a good system.My                             real time experience was
> > > > a 50% drawdown with                             a projected recovery too
> > > > slow to suit
> > > > me.
> > > > 3.Professional Advantage Day
> > > > Trader-PADT-cost                              $3300. I am still
> > > > monitoring this with about                             $25,000. It day
> > > > trades Treasuries and the S&P.                            It is
> > > > currently in a20% drawdown which is
> > > > acceptable to me since it has about a 60 day
> > > > recovery pattern. If this works the way I
> > > > think                           it can it will smoothe out drawdowns of
> > > > more                             volatile systems and be good
> > > > for
> > > > diversification.
> > > > 4. R&W MasterSuite cost-$16,500.It trades
> > > > the
> > > > S&P,Treasuries,Yen,DM,BP,SF,Eurodollars. It
> > > > has a 10 year real time track record.
> > > > Drawdowns can be severe in the 30 to 40%
> > > > but recovery usually is not more than 60
> > > > days.On paper you can make 200 to 300% per
> > > > year trading 1 times margin but I prefer to
> > > > trade 2 times margin so I will be
> > > > around                                  hopefully after a
> > > > drawdown.                               I don't intend to quit my day
> > > > job yet. If I have another             full year as good as the past
> > > > I'll go part time and start a              commodity
> > > > fund.
> > > > 5. Bob Buran-cost$600 His systems are good
> > > > for                               him and people who want to sit in
> > > > front of                               a screen and trade all day. They
> > > > are not                                 truly
> > > > mechanical.I washed out in 30 days with a 20% loss and would not consider unless a realtrader which I don't pretend to be.
> > > > Good luck to all of
> > > > you.
> > > > Mechanically
> > > > yours,
> > > > John
> > >                P.S. I tried to mail to each of you but had problems
> > > with  delivery.Hope this is helpful. If not delete.If I can further       help let me know.