[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: STKS - Fundamental vs. Technical



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Daniel Cruz wrote:
> 
> Hello RT's,
> 
> I'm trying to learn how to trade stocks and I have a question.  I've been
> following Amati Communications (AMTX).  Now from Jan. '97 to about Aug. '97
> it seems to have made what looks to me like a texts book Head -n- Shoulders
> bottom, increased volume on the left shoulder plus increased volume on all
> the rallies, reduced volume on the declines, etc.  About mid Aug. we have a
> break out on high volume followed by a return to the neckline in mid Sep.
> This seems to me exactly what it's suppose to do.  My question is why is
> there a possibility of a rally when the "fundamentals" look so poor.
> Example:
> 
> P/E:  is not calculated due to "negative" earnings.
> Price to book: is about 50
> Price/Sales: is about 25 (which seems high to me)
> 
> I perfectly understand why technical traders in commodities do not follow
> fundamentals.  You know things like people will always need to buy gas and
> eat bread and build a house, etc.  But, people really don't need to buy a
> share of stock, especially one with poor fundamentals, that's why I'm
> confused.
> 
> Any assistance to my understanding will be most appreciated.
> 
> Also, I've read here that a study of cycles is a good tool to apply to
> trendlines, how do I get started in the study of cycles.  Thanks very much.
> 
> Daniel Cruz

Hey Daniel

I think the other day wade cook put it on his site a stock (amtx)that
has a tradeing range.  WATCH YOURSELF.  I didn't do it because I didn't
like what I saw.  So, I said forget it.  If you want some stocks to
paper trade or look at here: JNJ,S,MCIC,KO.  If the S&P furtures do good
in overnight tradeing then these might be good possible trades.

Good tradeing
Joe Frabosilio