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Re: Books


  • To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: Books
  • From: rmac@xxxxxxxx (Ronald McEwan)
  • Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 08:54:08 -0700 (PDT)
  • In-reply-to: <3425FD79.1509@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>

PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Don Wrote

One of the titles that is listed in the  spreadsheet is:

Stock Market Probability
How to Improve Your Odds of Making Safe and Profitable Investment
Decisions
by Joseph E. Murphy, Jr.
Published by Probus Publishing Co.

Is this a basic book of statistics for speculation?

Does this book give the formulas that assuming a bell curve, and a
standard deviation by giving a time period and a current price. It 
will calculate a probability of such and such a high or low?

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Don, Here is a list of the table of contents. I highly recommend this
book. 

Stock Market Probability

Table of Contents

1) Overview
2) the standard deviation, the normal distribution and natural logarithms
- concepts useful to studying the stock market
3) the statistical basis for estimating future probable changes in stock
prices
4)how knowing the probability can improve your investment decisions
5)the dispersion of stock prices
6)the basic model the for stock market
7)predicting the distribution of historical returns on the stock market
8)how to reduce common stock portfolio risk
9)are there changes in stock market volatility
10)predicting probable returns from a single stock
11)estimating probable returns on a mutual fund
12)predicting the probability of a loss
13)predicting probable changes in earnings
14)predicting probable changes in profit margins
15)how to estimate the average future return from stocks
16)the law of distribution of wealth
17)diversification across time
18)predicting dividend changes
19)basis for predicting the probability of loss
20) how to read the probability tables
21)five laws of finance
22)a summing up

first published in 1988

You might be able to get this at an RT members discount form
Traderspress.

" Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity"

Ron McEwan