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Re: MKT: Market TOP...RETRACTION


  • To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: MKT: Market TOP...RETRACTION
  • From: nwinski <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:57:08 -0700 (PDT)
  • In-reply-to: <970730170857_1247141694@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

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nwinski wrote:
> 
> Intel55@xxxxxxx wrote:
> >
> > In a message dated 97-07-30 06:50:05 EDT, BIIRE4U@xxxxxxx writes:
> >
> > << Well here's egg on my face...nix the 29th as the top....I found missing
> > data
> >  on my calculations from July 3rd short session and that thru off my
> >  calculations by several days...
> >
> >  The correct day for the drop in the S&P's to begin is TUESDAY  Aug 5th...
> >  So relax for the rest of this week...
> >
> >  Mistakenly,
> >  Bob Yost >>
> >
> > hmmm not to be meanspirited.....but COME ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NOBODY  can pick a
> > top. No missing data , no nothing will pick the exact top, no esoteric
> > calculations. NOBODY wants to be short for to long , they get killed. This
> > market is not going to ring a bell and say ok then this day is the exact top.
> > THis market has MUCH further to go. Sure it will decline one day or correct,
> > but it will be back. A bear market is still a lil ways away.
> 
> RT,
>   This reminds me of one time when I was trading on the CBOE floor.
> This was during the '75-76 bull phase. Everyone joked that there
> wouldn't
> be a bell at the top. Then one day, when the planets and the charts
> indicated that the market was getting very close to a top, in the
> middle of the day, for no explicable reason, the trading floor bell
> rang.(Clang! Clang!)  Eveyone stopped trading for a moment. Then within
> a few minutes of that, the market topped and starting going down for a
> sigificant correction. This is even stranger than you may think, because
> the CBOE is supposedly only a derivitive market, meaning it just follows
> what New York does. I don't know what synchronicity could have occured
> to ring the CBOE bell in the middle of the day and top the stock market
> based in NY, but I sold short when I heard the bell and went home that
> day very happy.
> 
> Ringingly,
> 
> Norman

P.S. Watch out for those fire drills on the NYSE floor, too. They often
correspond to changes in direction for the market.