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GEN: hit detail on 6/23/97 from EK



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RealTraders:

Last week, I offered to email to those who requested it the hit detail that
enabled us to forecast the tradable event on 6/23/97 three weeks in advance
(published to a subset of the RT list, i.e. those who have Nature's Pulse
software). Way too many replies to respond to individually. So I'm putting it
out to everybody on the list.

Here it is:

1. 5/19/88L-8/22/73L=3726 days x 1.618 = 6028.7
2. 7/16/90-4/10/79=2847 days x 1.618 = 4606.4
3. 10/24/88-10/3/74=3553 days x 1.618 = 5748.8
4. 8/25/87-9/8/71=4033 days x 1.618 = 6525.4
5. 4/17/91-3/25/81=2544 days x 1.618= 4116.2
6. 5/11/92-1/10/84=2107 days x 1.618=3409.1
                                                 
                                                ~ 6/23/97

Now let me explain how this works, using 4. as an example.

The number of trading days between 8/25/87 and 9/8/71 is 4033 days. If you
multiply 4033 times the fib ratio 1.618, you get 6525.4. From 8/25/87 you
count 6525.4 days into the future. You get a date 6/23/97 plus or minus one
trading day. What enabled us to focus on 6/23/97 was the cummulative hits
clustering around that time frame. The mathematical epicenter was 6/23/97.
But the date the the highest number of hits was 6/20/97, the actual high.

Eddie Kwong