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Re: Horse Betting



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I used to hang out in San Diego, surf in the morning,
then scan the DRF over coffee and breakfast, and then 
hit the track at Del Mar. We would pay for the cheap
seats and then sneak into the fancy hat section.

As Borat say: "Very Nice!"

Anyway my "system" was looking in the DRF for workout 
times on longer shots (8-1 +) that were faster or equal 
to the favorites. Usually bet them to place or show.
Occasionally I bet them to win (say 50-1 odds AND the
workouts were as good as the favorite). I also favored
the better jockeys. I actually hit some of these 50-1 
shots and made consistent money over all (I took something 
home on over half the races I bet).

It is like trading. You don't have to an insider, but
you need to know a niche better than most. And you need to
be consistent in your method. It's easy to get carried away
after hitting a 50-1 shot. You have to be boringly methodical.

That said, even in retrospect, I could not see Mine That
Bird coming. The Mine That Bird story is really one for
the ages.



--- On Wed, 6/10/09, Alex Matulich <alex@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> From: Alex Matulich <alex@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: Re: Horse Betting
> To: omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx
> Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2009, 11:48 AM
> Mark,
> 
> You may be interested in the following historical data I
> collected,
> painstakingly, 9 years ago.  See the link below.
> 
> This is just one month's worth of Daily Racing Form
> consensus and
> race results data from September to October 2000, but that
> one month
> is still a pretty significant collection (nearly 6,000
> races).  It's
> all in one big Excel spreadsheet, ready for you to analyze
> and
> number crunch any way you want.
> 
> This was a way for me to learn the Java programming
> language, but   
> I also hoped to develop something profitable with the
> results.      
> I wrote a program that downloaded the race schedules, the
> DRF       
> consensus, betting info, and race results, automatically
> every day, 
> parsed all those web pages, performed error checking to
> d
 do contain some errors),
> and      
> combined the results in a spreadsheet.  Writing the
> software was a  
> lot of work (and I haven't used Java since!).  I ran
> this for DRF's 
> 1-month free trial.         
>                
>                
>        
> 
> Unbelievable how many races happen in a month.  There
> are 5,780     
> data rows in the spreadsheet, one for each race.  Each
> row          
> contains:             
>                
>                
>              
> 
> Date 
> Track ID 
> Number of handicappers involved in the consensus scoring 
> Race number 
> Length of the race in yards 
> ...plus for each of the top three scoring horses in the
> consensus: 
>     horse name 
>     consensus score 
>     pole position 
>     morning line odds 
>     win, place, and show payouts 
> 
> I never managed to do anything useful with it.  I
> offer it to anyone 
> who might find it useful, and hope that if you do discover
> something 
> from this data, that you will share it with me. 
> 
> You can download the spreadsheet from 
> 
> http://unicorn.us.com/alex/drfconsensus.zip (430K
> zipped, 1.7M unzipped) 
> 
> I hope somebody finds it useful.  And before anyone
> asks, I don't   
> think I have all the software modules anymore.  I've
> changed        
> computers 5 times since then.  I do have all the
> original web pages 
> that the data came from, though.       
>                
>             
> 
> -Alex 
> 
> P.S. The above message is a copy of a usenet post from
> 2003:
> http://groups.google.com/group/alt.sport.horse-racing.systems/msg/b5fe59c2f9d73fc1
> 
>