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Re: Implied Volatility for Futures Contracts


  • To: omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx
  • Subject: Re: Implied Volatility for Futures Contracts
  • From: HBernst963@xxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 6 Jul 2006 18:13:11 -0700
  • Old-date: Thu, 6 Jul 2006 21:13:03 EDT
  • Old-x-envelope-to: omega-list-request

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In a message dated 7/6/2006 8:39:57 PM Eastern Standard Time,  jz@xxxxxxxxx 
writes:
Deep out of the money S&P's

That's all you need to say. I'm sure you saw a lot of option sellers  get 
wiped out in 1987 and a few less after 9/11.  Since these fat tail  events are so 
few and far between, it is hard to quantify the risk.  
 
This link below about Nassim Taleb and how he deals with fat tails is very  
interesting.  He does the opposite-he buys the overpriced OTM options and  
waits for the fat tail to occur.
_http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_04_29_a_blowingup.htm_ 
(http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_04_29_a_blowingup.htm) 

Howard