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Re: OddBall variation comparisons



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Thanks for your work Jim.  One of the difficulties in comparing system is
that there is no standard for what data to test with, when to test, and how
to report the results.

In an attempt to eliminate 2 of these problems, perhaps you can export your
SP and ADV data and post them on traders2traders.com.  This would give any
oddball tweakers the chance to test their mojo on a known set of data.  

-Jeff

----- Original Message -----
From: "Jim Johnson" <jejohn@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, May 21, 2002 7:20 AM
Subject: OddBall variation comparisons


> Hello omega-list,
>
>  I've been applying a number of OB variations  posted
>   to the list over the last year or so.  I don't think I can attach my
>   spreadsheet to I'll paste it in below.  If you want a clean one
>   email me.   Or if my  system names don't ring a bell I have
>   the ela I can send as well.
>
>   Disclaimer: I did this for my own purposes and in no way is this
>   intended to the the ultimate system test.  I had the data and the
>   systems so I ran 'em and here are the unaudited results.
>
>   I applied each to Tick Data back adjusted 30 min futures contracts in
four
>   2-year windows (94-95, 96-97, 98-99, 00-01).  I inserted code that
>   required entries to be on the hour, simulating natural hour bars per
>   Jeff Meek's suggestion (e.g. If condition... AND MOD(TIME, 100) = 0
>   Then Sell;)
>
>   (BTW--For kicks I ran the systems on 30 min bars without the "on the
hour"
>   requirement and didn't see much systematic difference.)
>
>
>
>
> Original        94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades          599     398     570     547     2111
> Net Profit      7762    66925   37075   371000  482712
> % Profitable    47      48      45      49
> Avg Trade       13      169     65      678
> Max IdDD       -13675  -22600  -67075  -30425
>
> BobR-T3         94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades          451     325     446     433     1655
> Net Profit      11075   42425   79875   408400  541775
> % Profitable    41      44      45      48
> Avg Trade       25      130     179     943
> Max IdDD       -14462  -23650  -42225  -27250
>
> C Johnson       94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades         486     458     545     519     2008
> Net Profit      3975    71900   18650   387475  482000
> % Profitable    43      46      43      51
> Avg Trade       8       157     34      746
> Max IdDD       -18000  -38675  -72325  -41875
>
> Folster         94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades         486     273     347     334     1320
> Net Profit      3975    45625   91500   276825  421900
> % Profitable    43      47      52      56
> Avg Trade       8       167     264     828
> Max IdDD       -18000  -19800  -28350  -25350
>
> Fulks-simple    94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades         395     289     405     387     1486
> Net Profit      14150   34662   118000  408125  574937
> % Profitable    43      42      47      51
> Avg Trade       36      100     284     1054
> Max IdDD       -15062  -34025  -35450  -26775
>
> Dubell          94-95   96-97   98-99   00-01   "Total"
> #Trades          473     331     498     457     1759
> Net Profit      8862    60050   7575    372025  448512
> % Profitable    44      49      45      49
> Avg Trade       19      181     15      814
> Max IdDD       -17275  -32000  -71700  -36550
>
>
>
> --
> Best regards,
>  Jim Johnson                         mailto:jejohn@xxxxxxxxxxx
>