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Example of Monte Carlo, plus source code


  • To: omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx
  • Subject: Example of Monte Carlo, plus source code
  • From: Mark Johnson <janitor@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Apr 2002 13:29:42 -0700
  • In-reply-to: <200204201555.IAA17899@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

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Trading Reference Links

An example of Monte Carlo simulation is given in this article:

http://traderclub.com/discus/messages/18/1264.html?WednesdayFebruary2120011132am#POST3763

MC simulation was used to study this question:

Given a trading method that has 40% winning trades
and 60% losing trades.  Suppose a trader takes 1000
trades using this method.  How many losing trades
IN A ROW can the trader expect to encounter, in a
trial of 1000 trades?  (Answer: the expected value of
the number of losses in a row is 12.3 and the standard
deviation of the number of losses in a row is 2.5).