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Hi,
I'm playing with a swing trading idea for bond futures and noticed
something odd while backtesting. The U00, Z00 and H01 contracts produce
uniformly lousy results in T-bonds, Long Gilt and Bund. Contracts before
and after produce decent results. This appears to be because the system
thrives on volatility and because volatility was comparatively low during
the three quarters concerned.
I cannot find any other period over the last ten years or so in which this
happens but still suspect there was a fundamental reason for it.
Anyone care to guess what went on or why ?
Regards,
Stefan Schulz
Suaviter Limited
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