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While fiddling about in Excel today, quite by chance I found something quite
sobering (from a classical chartist's point of view anyway)
If you have a couple of minutes try creating the following simple Excel
spreadsheet ( to generate a random walk 'price chart')
In cell A2 :
=rand()
In Cell B2:
=if(A2<=0.5,1,-1)
In Cell C2:
=C1+B2
Copy this down (say) 3000 rows and plot a line graph of column C.
Then keep regenerating the random numbers using F9 to get a freshly
generated random walk each time.
What do you see?
Trend lines, retracements, consolidations, breakouts, Support,
Resistance, Head and Shoulders, double tops, V-shaped
bottoms...........etc....etc.
Any pattern you like in fact.
They are all there if you have an eye for them.
AND ALL ON CHARTS THAT ACTUALLY ARE RANDOM WALK!
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