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The driving force behind technical analysis, to true life saga played
out in the hot Texas sun two years ago on a multilane stretch of road
under construction. As I set parked in traffic waiting for the Lady
Officer to waive myself and the multitudes of course behind me. I
thought perhaps she may have fallen asleep behind those deeply tented
sunglasses she was wearing so I gently beeped my horn just make sure
if she had fallen asleep I could get her awaken before she hit the
pavement.
But evidently she in fact was not asleep and did not appreciate my
actions no matter how good my intentions. As I set there now with half
of Dallas's population who own cars behind me, I watched three more
red lights turned green and back to read without moving so much as a
foot. So in what I thought was the best interest of the general public
communicate my feelings of claustrophobia both mechanically and
manually by making verbal sounds with my mouth. Evidently she did not
have a great appreciation for my concern of her lack of ability to
perform her given task.
Of all things as a reward for my failed efforts are received a ticket
issued for disorderly conduct. Having long experience with matters
like these, I knew it was futile to do anything, other than send it
over to attorney who was driving a Volkswagen that needed paint 20
years ago and who's secretaries are now driving Mercedes. So anyway my
attorney whose a smart lady knows the ropes around the Dallas traffic
judicial system pretty well. She knows the longer something can be
postponed the more likely it can be dismissed.
In this case we were hoping that maybe the female officer's live in
might become pregnant and the officer would need to find a less risky
line of work to support her lover and baby. ;- ) Or something else
like that, which would help maintain my absolutely perfect
non-criminal history. Well there was that one exception back in 1979
when the Fed's got all upset over an article in Soldier Of Fortune
magazine. But you're not a real Texan unless you have the Fed's
investigating you at some point in your life.
As I was driving back for my court victory this morning, I realized a
couple of things. One is I have a car that is five years old and has
less than 40,000 miles on it. Secondly I discovered that driving is
like technical analysis, I mean exactly the same. I will demonstrate
correlation between the two. Priding myself somewhat as an alert
driver well aware of his surroundings. I observed that when I was
approaching an intersection I would immediately start to scope out the
participants at the red light in front me.
I started to group them first by the most obvious indication that I
saw which was newness of the vehicle. The theory being if a car was
smoking from the tail pipe or has dull paint and is leaning to one
side it probably will not be up to my acceleration criteria. As I
approach the participants in front of me having accumulated the input
data and stored it as to the newness of the vehicles etc.
I realized I was on to the next indicator which I rely upon, that is
the numbers of occupants in the vehicle. The theory been the more
participants, the more conversation that will have been a less likely
that will be paying attention when the light turns during - thus again
not meeting acceleration criteria to follow it. Next I observe what
the operator of the vehicle is doing, if they're smoking I take that
into account. If they're eating, drinking are talking on the phone,
each one of these different inputs is placed into my formula and will
have a bearing on my decision " who" to lineup behind at that the red
light.
I then turn my attention to try and differentiate age, this judgment
is made by the observation of posture, hair color, hair length - and
oddly enough the make of car. I even go as far as to observe the car
has door handles are not in the traditional sense, meaning those which
protrude from the body off the vehicle. Lots of older people by Buicks
because the one of the few vehicles that is manufactured that still
has door handles. Of course experience in plays a big hand in the
dissemination of the information, and has a direct impact on the
output decision.
A red low-slung sports car does not necessarily become the first
choice to line up behind, its occupants may be a male and female.
Under this scenario you still have to evaluate other variables such as
the age difference between the male and female occupants. Simply to
say that their male and female does not automatically imply that they
would be hot lovers who are more interested in each other than
driving. They could be father daughter just as well, that throws them
into whole other category. If on the other hand the occupants are
clearly boyfriend girlfriend - that's one thing. If the male is using
this cell phone, this would be a larger detriment than if his
girlfriend was using the cell phone. The distance separating the
boyfriend girlfriend should also be taken into account.
Items such as bumper stickers, and what they say will have bearing
upon my decision as I continued to analyze the traffic slowing in
front of me. Answer me this, why would anyone have a bumper sticker
that says if you can read this then you're too close? This is a sure
sign that the driver of this vehicle fully understands that the world
is passing them by, and they have absolutely no desire to try and keep
up. On the other hand I fully appreciate those big yellow signs in the
rear glass which say baby on board. These people truly must be
recognized for their brilliance.
With one small sign they've accomplished both my goals and their
goals. There goals are to keep me from pile driving than those of my
car into the rear end of their vehicle at a speed which he surely
twice what they are driving.
My goals which they are helping me to obtain is to identify
slow-moving obstacles which are clearly not conducive to proper
traffic flow.
I could go on and down about possible various scenarios of infinite
numbers of combinations of the technical analysis of driving. Just as
I could about trading, I think if I had to summarize I would say that
all the input data in the world doesn't matter by itself. Being alert
and a good observer is quintessential to survival and advancement in
the human race. Very few people are truly observant and aware of every
aspect of life and work. So it is in trading the same.
Mark Brown
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