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Re: Vendor System, Real Profits for 3 Years



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>  As for bet-sizing, there are two parts of this problem:
>  
>      > Deciding how many contracts to trade on each trading signal
>  
>      > Deciding how much of your capital to allocate to each commodity
>  
>  You find that some trades will have a higher reward-to-risk-ratio
>  than others so you need to trade more contracts for those cases. This
>  obviously will improve the overall profitability.

I am interested in thoughts about how to have some idea in advance which 
trades will have a higher reward-to-risk-ratio. What you say certainly makes 
sense, but I lack ideas for how to determine reward-to-risk ratio in advance 
of a trade. I'm not sure it is possible. Any ideas?