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AW: Betting Schemes: Fixed Ration vs. Spear



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Can you explain in plain english please...? What is it you're implying one 
should trade, or not trade???

Thanks

Gwenn

| -----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----
| Von:	Paul H. Lasky [SMTP:phlasky@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
| Gesendet am:	Thursday, September 09, 1999 10:54 PM
| An:	Omega-List@xxxxxxxxxx
| Betreff:	Betting Schemes: Fixed Ration vs. Spear
|
| Mark Johnson and all interested in betting schemes:
|
|     Thanks Mark for all your work on comparing Fixed Ratio (Ryan Jones's
| Scheme) and Spear's volatility scheme. I did download all your data and
| analyze it. The data show that, overwhelmingly, there is no statistical
| difference between Fixed Ratio, Spear, or Un-equal Fixed Ratio. Based upon
| Mark's  data 1987 to Aug 30, 1999 any of the schemes can be traded with
| equal results.
|
|     Here's the results:
|                                         Annual Difference
|                                 Average            Stand.  Dev.
| t               Prob  the  same
| Fr - Spear              $105,791            $1,725,980            -0.02316
| 0.9819
| Fr- Unequal           -$85,542             $2,187,397             -0.0123
| 0.99038
| Spear - Unequal      $20,248             $1,112,885              0.0085
| 1.0
|
|
|   Paul Lasky