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Re: Long-term Simulation of SP



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> Dennis, Phil and all other that seem to be at loss with this matter
> every now and then:

Excuse me? I have a very good grasp of the matter, thank you.

> If you want to compare your trading results over different time frames
> and different markets, you have to work with percentages.

Test trading more contracts when volatility (or price) is lower does
exactly that.

> Once you've
> done your homework on Ratio Adjusted Data and percentage based
> calculations, you can transform those number to dollar terms that will
> tell you how much you can expect to win/lose in the future. Not how much
> you could have made in the past, which is the only thing TradeStation
> will tell you.

errrrrr..... past performance is no guarantee of future results <g>...
you don't mention monte carlo simulation using your percentage results
but I'm sure a knowledgable person like yourself uses it to help predict
the "future".... I do.....

> Unfortunately, when it comes to system testing and system testing
> parameters, all retail programs (including TS) are completely worthless,

Your opinion. This is the omega list and I presented a method that works
with Tradestation. At least it is a starting point to get the numbers to
use in a more complex analysis.

> Please read
> my article in (p. 46) in the latest issue of Futures magazine (Jan.
> 1999).

Sorry, I cancelled my subscription because I found few (no) articles of
value and was offended by the barrage of advertisements for $3000 wonder
systems. If you would like to summrize it here, please do so.

> I've addressed this matter for a long time now, and I'm just
> amazed that it needs to be addressed in the first place, and, second,
> that people seem to have such a hard time grasping it.

Maybe people grasp it better than you think.

-- 
   Dennis