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Re: FED cut forewarning



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Here's the NYSE Volume (in Millions) for the final 3 hours on Oct. 15 -- 
      
Looks like some may have had a clue around 2:45pm -- 30 minutes before
Greenie did his thing--  12 million Shares in 5 minutes, then 10 Million and
14 Million spurts before the announcement.  Then the big surge starting at
3:15 and recorded here at 3:20pm -- Average prior to the surge appears to be
about 7 million every 5 minutes.

981015  1300    NYSE Volume 520   Net 6
981015  1305    NYSE Volume 527   Net 7
981015  1310    NYSE Volume 535   Net 8
981015  1315    NYSE Volume 542   Net 7
981015  1320    NYSE Volume 551   Net 9
981015  1325    NYSE Volume 560   Net 9
981015  1330    NYSE Volume 566   Net 6
981015  1335    NYSE Volume 573   Net 7
981015  1340    NYSE Volume 580   Net 7
981015  1345    NYSE Volume 589   Net 9
981015  1350    NYSE Volume 597   Net 8
981015  1355    NYSE Volume 604   Net 7
981015  1400    NYSE Volume 612   Net 8
981015  1405    NYSE Volume 618   Net 6
981015  1410    NYSE Volume 627   Net 9
981015  1415    NYSE Volume 632   Net 5
981015  1420    NYSE Volume 641   Net 9
981015  1425    NYSE Volume 649   Net 8
981015  1430    NYSE Volume 658   Net 9
981015  1435    NYSE Volume 666   Net 8
981015  1440    NYSE Volume 674   Net 8
981015  1445    NYSE Volume 686   Net 12
981015  1450    NYSE Volume 694   Net 8
981015  1455    NYSE Volume 704   Net 10
981015  1500    NYSE Volume 712   Net 8
981015  1505    NYSE Volume 726   Net 14
981015  1510    NYSE Volume 735   Net 9
981015  1515    NYSE Volume 740   Net 5
981015  1520    NYSE Volume 757   Net 17
981015  1525    NYSE Volume 776   Net 19
981015  1530    NYSE Volume 793   Net 17
981015  1535    NYSE Volume 814   Net 21
981015  1540    NYSE Volume 835   Net 21
981015  1545    NYSE Volume 854   Net 19
981015  1550    NYSE Volume 875   Net 21
981015  1555    NYSE Volume 890   Net 15
981015  1600    NYSE Volume 921   Net 31
_________________________________________
        
At 01:01 AM 10/19/98 +0800, you wrote:
>If some people did have inside information, did anyone monitored the volume
>in the previous days? Or did the volume went up only near the closed of
>Thursday,
>because if that is the case, it really was short covering and reversal chasing
>and not really much people/positions really long on days before.
>
>Brian Massey wrote:
>
>> Phil wrote:
>> "Nobody know the Fed would move"
>>
>> Actually, I can't help but think that some people did know -- at least a
>> couple days in front.  Traders like Soros, and some large institutional
>> traders who established large S+P positions a couple days earlier.  There
>> was a post by someone on this list stating that the squwak box reported
>> several large traders taking positions around 940-960.  He went on to say
>> that at least 1 of these large traders did not have "a worried look on his
>> face."
>>
>> To think that this kind of information stays inside the circle of policy
>> makers is nieve.  How could when so much money is at stake?  A leak here a
>> leak there and a kick back is all it would take. Since when are policy
>> makers immune from the temptation to make large sums of easy money?
>>
>> How coincidental.
>>
>> For the record, whoever wrote this thanks.  I read this and promptly bought
>> MSFT calls.  This is a great list!
>>
>> Brian.
>>
>> -
>
>