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Gary,
Good comments and question. I don't have an answer for you. I am struggling
with the same ideas and would like to add a second request to the list for
some insightful discussion on especially these following comments of yours:
"My best-performing systems are S&R systems, but they'd do a whole heck of a
lot better if I could figure out a way to have them act a bit more
intelligently in trading ranges. I've had some success with having them
take trades only in the direction of a larger trend. That tends to reduce
the drawdown as a percentage of net, but typically the net profit drops
drastically. Usually you'd be a lot better off to just always stay in the
market."
My own research and studies have found that strictly S&R systems tend to
unwisely give up too much of your profit while waiting for the reverse
signal, so I think some form of trailing stop is better than a S&R. But like
you, taking trades only in the direction of a larger trend, looks good in
some ways and bad in others.
Any thoughts or experiences from the group regarding these ideas?
Neil
| -----Original Message-----
| From: Gary Fritz [mailto:fritz@xxxxxxxx]
| Sent: Saturday, August 22, 1998 1:05 PM
| To: omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx
| Subject: RE: EZ FOOD for Locals - Close Stops ?
|
|
| Trader Jack wrote:
| > design it for stop and reverse, or, always in the market. for
| > day traders such as me, and days like today, stops and
| profit targets
| > are irrevalent due to the magnitude of the trading range.
|
| For days like Friday, sure. Days like that, a simple moving average
| will make you a fortune. Unfortunately for us traders, they aren't
| all like that. My question is, how do you avoid getting killed with
| your stop & reverse system when the market goes into a flat trading
| range?
|
| My best-performing systems are S&R systems, but they'd do a whole
| heck of a lot better if I could figure out a way to have them act a
| bit more intelligently in trading ranges. I've had some
| success with
| having them take trades only in the direction of a larger trend.
| That tends to reduce the drawdown as a percentage of net, but
| typically the net profit drops drastically. Usually you'd be a lot
| better off to just always stay in the market.
|
| Any suggestions for good ways to avoid those nasty drawdowns in flat
| periods?
|
| Thanks!
| Gary
|
|