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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Zero Lag MACD Exploration



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Preston

Very nice explanation!

AW


--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh <no_reply@xxx> wrote:
>
> Gladly Paul,
> 
> The theory:
> In order to establish a normal value for something we need to look 
> at its extreme low and high values over a period of time. It 
really 
> doesn't matter what it is. In the case of rain we look at the 
Palmer 
> Index, which is what Mark had asked about. Its another way of 
saying 
> on average what value should we be seeing...are we above or below 
> that. 50 is the norm.
> 
> The principle: 
> Let's look at the indicator line by line using the following
> 
> {1}(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" )
> {2}-LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)) 
> {3}/(HHV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> {4}-LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> {5}+.0000001)*100
> 
> Lets first look at line 3 and 4. Here we take the highest value 
over 
> 48 days and the lowest value over 48 days. This is now our range.
> 
> Lines 1 and 2 establish where we are today. It will tell us how 
far 
> we are from the bottom. 
> 
> Next we need to establish some type of value that we can relate to 
> in a percent. So in line 3 you will note a division sign which is 
> used to divide our range into our present position. The resulting 
> output would be in decimals.
> 
> In line 5 we do two very important things. We first add .0000001 
to 
> our range value. This is done to eliminate a division by zero 
error. 
> We could have also used +prev-prev to do the same thing, again for 
> the same reason. Finally we are going to multiply our result by 
100. 
> This gives us a scale that is from 0 to 100. 
> 
> Normalizing or indexing in this fashion is a great way to 
determine 
> what an indicator is doing. There are problems with the method 
> though that you should consider. One is the period of time. In our 
> case we are only looking at 48 days worth of values. You really 
need 
> to consider whether this is going to be an appropriate amount of 
> time to establish a norm. A true statistician may feel that this 
is 
> not enough time and may wish to increase the lookback period. 
> 
> Another problem with this form of normalizing is the range. We are 
> basically range bound between 0 and 100. You will notice often 
times 
> that the indicator flatlines at either the top or bottom. This is 
> when you are range bound. Its important to consider what is 
> happening at these points. If it happens often then it is possible 
> that you are using a lookback that is too short. 
> 
> Another way of correcting the problem is to use a different scale. 
> Instead of the 0 to 100 scale where 50 is your midpoint, you could 
> use a bipolar scale. The midpoint of a bipolar scale is 0 with a 
> positive and a negative deflection. The beauty of using this scale 
> is that you now are using a +/- scale of 100. It will allow for a 
> much wider scale.    
> 
> 
> Hope this helps,
> 
> Preston
>   
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> >
> > Preston
> > 
> > Many thanks for your help and effort in this problem. However if 
> you
> > don´t mind I would like to ask about logic behind 
> > (Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" )
> > >  -LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)) 
> > > /(HHV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> > > -LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> > > +.0000001)*100.
> > Could you in English just explain what it means?
> > Yours gratefully
> > PAUL 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh <no_reply@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Paul,
> > > 
> > > That's great!
> > > 
> > > Okay, I had a chance to look at it with Metastock open and I 
> think 
> > > you will like this one better.
> > > 
> > > (Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" )
> > >  -LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)) 
> > > /(HHV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> > > -LLV(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),48)
> > > +.0000001)*100
> > > 
> > > 
> > > Basically a normalized Zero Lag MACD. As an indicator you can 
> use 
> > > the following with any indicator, just place your indicator 
> where 
> > > noted and remove the brackets.
> > > 
> > > {Normalized Indicator}
> > > Ind:= {your indicator here};
> > > Npds:=Input("periods to normalize",
> > >  1,500,48);
> > > Norm:=(Ind-LLV(Ind,Npds))
> > >  /(HHV(Ind,Npds)-LLV(Ind,Npds)+.0000001)*100;
> > > Norm
> > > 
> > > Enjoy,
> > > 
> > > Preston
> > > 
> > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> > > <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Thanxs success.
> > > > 
> > > > PAUL
> > > > 
> > > > 
> > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh <no_reply@> 
> wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > Try this:
> > > > > 
> > > > > (Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ) -
> > > > > Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD"),9,EXPONENTIAL)/
> > > > > Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ) +
> > > > >  Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD"),9,EXPONENTIAL))* 100
> > > > > 
> > > > > If not I'm check it out later this pm.
> > > > > 
> > > > > Preston
> > > > > 
> > > > > 
> > > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> > > > > <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Preston
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > Thanxs for the repsonse. Columm E is OK however Column F 
> is 
> > > still
> > > > > > incorrect. 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh 
<no_reply@> 
> > > wrote:
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > Paul,
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > I will be away from my computer until late afternoon 
so 
> I 
> > > can 
> > > > > only 
> > > > > > > give some glancing views right now. I do see one 
> immediate 
> > > > > problem.
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > Col E Prev MA
> > > > > > > Ref Mov(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL),-1)
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > should be 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > Col E Prev MA
> > > > > > > Ref(Mov(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL),-1)
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > I also think column F should be changed to 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > Col F %
> > > > > > > ((Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ) - Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD"
> > > > > > > ),9,EXPONENTIAL))/ ((Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ) + Mov( Fml
> > > ( "Zero Lag 
> > > > > > > MACD"),9,EXPONENTIAL))* 100 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > I don't have Metastock right now so that may not be 
> correct. 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > I'm not sure about the code not working. The original 
> > > discussion 
> > > > > was 
> > > > > > > in January of 2007, so you could go back to 
> > > > > > > http://www.purebytes.com/cgi-local/swish/swish-cgi.pl
> > > > > > > and look at the original discussion about it. Part of 
> the 
> > > code 
> > > > > given 
> > > > > > > is Amibroker and won't work in Metastock.
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > hope this helps,
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > Preston
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> > > > > > > <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > Preston
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > Thanxs for the heads up on the discussion of lag in 
> moving 
> > > > > > > averages. I
> > > > > > > > had a read through.
> > > > > > > > So I thought I would go ahead and see if I could not 
> use 
> > > the 
> > > > > > > existing
> > > > > > > > MACD exploration in Metastock and just substitute 
> normal 
> > > MACD 
> > > > > with
> > > > > > > > Zero lag MACD. And keep the trigger signal as a 9 
day 
> EMA, 
> > > as it
> > > > > > > > produces fewer whipsaws than for example the Zero 
lag 
> MACD 
> > > > > Trigger
> > > > > > > > Signal. However there seems to be a problem.
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > Zero Lag MACD Exploration
> > > > > > > > Col A Close
> > > > > > > > CLOSE
> > > > > > > > Col B Zero Lag MACD
> > > > > > > > Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" )
> > > > > > > > Col C Previous MACD
> > > > > > > > Ref( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),-1)
> > > > > > > > Col D Mov Ave
> > > > > > > > Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL)
> > > > > > > > Col E Prev MA
> > > > > > > > Ref Mov(Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL),-1)
> > > > > > > > Col F %
> > > > > > > > ((Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ) - Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag MACD"
> > > > > > > > ),9,EXPONENTIAL))/ Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag 
> > > MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL)) 
> > > > > * 
> > > > > > > 100 
> > > > > > > > Filter
> > > > > > > > CROSS (Fml( "Zero Lag MACD" ),Mov( Fml( "Zero Lag 
> > > > > > > MACD" ),9,EXPONENTIAL)
> > > > > > > > Any advice to solve the problem would be helpful. 
> > > > > > > > I also had a look at the JMA equivalent PMA, but I 
was 
> > > unable 
> > > > > to 
> > > > > > > copy
> > > > > > > > and paste the PMA into Metastock.
> > > > > > > > http://trader.online.pl/MSZ/e-w-
> Moving_Average_Phased.html
> > > > > > > > I am using Metastock 6.52.
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > Yours
> > > > > > > > PAUL
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh 
> <no_reply@> 
> > > > > wrote:
> > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > Paul,
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > The original discussion was about lag in moving 
> averages 
> > > and 
> > > > > > > occurred 
> > > > > > > > > in 2001.
> > > > > > > > > Go here 
> > > > > > > > > http://www.purebytes.com/cgi-local/swish/swish-
cgi.pl
> > > > > > > > > and look under metastock and 2001 for all the 
> > > discussions.
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > I'm not aware of the zerolag being part of the 
> canned 
> > > > > metastock 
> > > > > > > > > package.
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > It's easy enough though to write it but you might 
> want 
> > > to 
> > > > > > > consider 
> > > > > > > > > using the smoothed version of a Jurik type MA that 
> we 
> > > came up 
> > > > > > > with 
> > > > > > > > > earlier this year. 
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > The mechanics of the exploration will be the same 
no 
> > > matter 
> > > > > > > whether 
> > > > > > > > > you use an EMA, a Zerolag EMA, or a Jurik type 
EMA. 
> Its 
> > > just 
> > > > > a 
> > > > > > > matter 
> > > > > > > > > of deciding which you want to use.
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > If you want to do a zerolag let me know and we'll 
> > > proceed.
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > Preston
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > --- In 
equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> > > > > > > > > <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > OK, so I have a page that provides a Zero Lag 
MACD 
> > > > > exploration
> > > > > > > > > > http://trader.online.pl/MSZ/e-ex-
> > > > > Zero_Lag_EMA_Exploration.html 
> > > > > > > > > > but the code for the indicator given is 
incorrect 
> and 
> > > comes 
> > > > > up 
> > > > > > > with 
> > > > > > > > > an
> > > > > > > > > > error message.
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > Indicator : DS_EMA_X_MP()
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > Formula : if ( Cross(mov(mov(mp(),4,e))4,e),mov
(mov
> (mp
> > > > > (),8,e))
> > > > > > > > > 8,e)),1,
> > > > > > > > > >           if (Cross(mov(mov(mp(),8,e))8,e),mov
(mov
> (mp
> > > > > (),4,e))
> > > > > > > 4,e)),-
> > > > > > > > > 1,
> > > > > > > > > >           0))
> > > > > > > > > > And whilst I understand your logic of using a 
MACD 
> > > > > exploration 
> > > > > > > and
> > > > > > > > > > substituting normal MACD for Zero Lag MACD I 
don´t 
> > > know if 
> > > > > my
> > > > > > > > > > understanding of Metastock formula is enough to 
> > > achieve 
> > > > > this. 
> > > > > > > > > > I read somewhere on recent versions of Metastock
> (9.1) 
> > > that 
> > > > > a 
> > > > > > > zero 
> > > > > > > > > lag
> > > > > > > > > > MACD exploration comes as a standard exploration.
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > Yours
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > PAUL
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh 
> > > <no_reply@> 
> > > > > > > wrote:
> > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > Paul,
> > > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > > Do you have a normal EMA crossover and MACD 
> > > exploration 
> > > > > that 
> > > > > > > you 
> > > > > > > > > like?
> > > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > > Preston
> > > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > > > > > --- In 
> equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "paul_vicmar" 
> > > > > > > > > > > <paul_vicmar@> wrote:
> > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > I have been looking at Zero Lag EMA and MACD 
> and 
> > > have 
> > > > > > > noticed 
> > > > > > > > > how
> > > > > > > > > > > > timely the signals are in respect to other 
MA 
> > > systems.
> > > > > > > > > > > > I have been trawling the net in all the 
usual 
> > > sites to 
> > > > > see 
> > > > > > > if I 
> > > > > > > > > > > could
> > > > > > > > > > > > find a suitable Zero Lag MACD exploration or 
> Zero 
> > > Lag 
> > > > > EMA 
> > > > > > > > > Crossover
> > > > > > > > > > > > Exploration. But without any success. 
> > > > > > > > > > > > This is the formula I am using for Zero lag 
> EMA 
> > > > > > > > > > > > Period:= Input("What Period",1,250,10);
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA1:= Mov(CLOSE,Period,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA2:= Mov(EMA1,Period,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > Difference:= EMA1 - EMA2;
> > > > > > > > > > > > ZeroLagEMA:= EMA1 + Difference;
> > > > > > > > > > > > ZeroLagEMA
> > > > > > > > > > > > And this is the formula for Zero Lag MACD
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA1:= Mov(CLOSE,13,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA2:= Mov(EMA1,13,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > Difference:= EMA1 - EMA2;
> > > > > > > > > > > > ZeroLagEMA13:= EMA1 + Difference;
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA1:= Mov(CLOSE,21,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > EMA2:= Mov(EMA1,21,E);
> > > > > > > > > > > > Difference:= EMA1 - EMA2;
> > > > > > > > > > > > ZeroLagEMA21:= EMA1 + Difference;
> > > > > > > > > > > > ZeroLagMACD:=ZeroLagEMA13 - 
> > > ZeroLagEMA21;ZeroLagMACD
> > > > > > > > > > > > Any help would be greatly appreciated.
> > > > > > > > > > > > Thanxs
> > > > > > > > > > > > PAUL
> > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > >
> > > >
> > >
> >
>




 
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