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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Kirschenbaum bands



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Brett,

You asked the same question November 14, 2004 on the Metastockusers 
group. Have you been looking all this time?

The standard error bands are built in to Metastock. This comes from 
the help file.

When displaying Standard Error Bands, you are prompted to enter the 
number of periods in the bands and the number of standard errors 
between the bands and the linear regression line (see Standard Error 
Bands).  Mr. Andersen recommends default values of "21" for the 
number of periods, a 3-day simple moving average for the smoothing, 
and "2" standard errors.  He also notes that very short time frames 
tend to produce unreliable results.
MetaStock plots Standard Error Bands on the security's prices or 
indicator.  These interpretational comments refer to bands on the 
security's closing price.

Because the spacing between Standard Error Bands is based on the 
standard error of the security, the bands widen when the volatility 
around the current trend increases, and contract when volatility 
around the current trend decreases.
Since Standard Error Bands are statistically based, other 
statistical indicators such as r-squared, Standard Error, Linear 
Regression, etc. work well for trade confirmation.
Mr. Andersen notes the following characteristics of Standard Error 
Bands.

·	Tight bands are an indication of a strong trend.
·	Prices tend to bounce between the bands when the bands are 
wide.
·	Tight bands followed by a widening of the bands may indicate 
the exhaustion of a trend and a possible reversal.
·	When the bands reverse direction after an exhausted trend, 
prices tend to move in the direction of the bands.
·	The r-squared indicator works well in combination with 
Standard Error Bands.  A high r-squared value combined with tight 
bands confirms a strong trend.  A low r-squared value combined with 
wide bands confirms that prices are consolidating.

Hope this helps,


Preston



--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Brett Sinclair 
<brett_j_sinclair@xxx> wrote:
>
> Is anyone familiar enough with Kirschenbaum bands to code them in 
Metastock?
>    
>   For the curious, their description is as follows:
>       Kirshenbaum Bands are constructed as follows: 
> 
> Calculate a P-Period Exponential Moving Average of the data based 
on the close. 
> 
> Then, for each bar, calculate the L-Period linear regression line, 
using today's close as the endpoint of the line. (Note: The 
term "linear regression" is the same as a "least squares" or "best 
fit" line in some textbooks.) 
> 
> Calculate d1, d2, d3, .. dL as the distance from the line to the 
close on each bar which was used to derive the line. That is, di = 
Distance from Regression Line to each bar's close. 
> 
> Calculate the average of the squared errors: 
> 
> AE = (d12 + d22 + d32 + .. + dN2) / L 
> 
> Standard Error (Se) is the square root of this value: 
> 
> Se = square root of AE 
> 
> Then, if N = Number of Standard Errors, band width is: 
> 
> BW = N * SE 
> 
> Add and subtract the band width from the Exponential Moving 
Average to arrive at today's value for the upper and lower bands. 
> 
>  
>   They are similar to, but behave quite differently from Bollinger 
Bands.
>    
>   Thanks, Brett
> 
> 
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>




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