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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Doji's



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Trading Reference Links

Thanks!

Preston



--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, lj93612 <no_reply@xxx> wrote:
>
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh <no_reply@> wrote:
> >
> > All,
> > 
> > Recently ran across a trading system which used candlestick 
doji's as 
> > a marker for trend reversals. As I am not a student of 
candlesticks, 
> I 
> > would like to know if anyone else has any advice/experience using 
> such 
> > a system?
> > 
> > Thanks,
> > 
> > Preston
> >
> 
> Doji's reveal that for the day, their was no dominant crowd that 
> prevailed over the other; both bulls and bears battled it out 
leaving 
> the close very close to the open.
> 
> They increase uncertainty that the previous dominant group can 
continue 
> to hold the trend.
> 
> However, with that said, how accurate are they? Not very. Any 
system 
> based primarily on Doji's is a system doomed to failure. Why? All 
> single candlestick patterns have the limitation that they are only 
1 
> day worth of data. Any system that claims to be able to predict 
trend 
> reversals on simply one day worth of data (aka a Doji formed 
today), is 
> a system doomed to failure over the long run.
> 
> Crowd psychology is complex, a manic depressive if you will. Trying 
to 
> determine the emotions of the crowd as it changes over time 
requires 
> much more than any single day signal like a Doji candlestick.
> 
> If I were to rank how I would use a Doji candlestick to help 
predict a 
> change in trend, the ranking, as compared to other indicators, 
would go 
> something like:
> 
> 1 - Volume
> 2 - ADX -DI +DI
> 3 - ROC
> 3 - MACD
> 4 - Stochastic
> 5 - Chart Pattern (Double Top, Head and Shoulders, Double bottom, 
> Inverse Head and Shoulders, etc.)
> 6 - Money Flow
> 7 - Multi-day candlestick patterns
> 8 - single day candlestick patterns
> 9 - Price
>




 
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