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If you understand the fundamentals of seasonals and why they happen
in commodities, you begin to see why technicals work. example.
Harvest lows occur when 30% of soybeans are harvested as a general
rule and the carryover level and export demand brings about seasonal
lows or highs depending on when south american soybeans enter the
world market at a lower price etc. The seasonals are relateed to
global harvest and quantity of carryover as an example.
KS
--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "metastkuser"
<andysmith_999@xxxx> wrote:
> KS,
>
> To what extent do you use seasonals to trade commodities?
>
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "formulaprimer"
> <formulaprimer@xxxx> wrote:
> > If anyone is interested the grain market will hit a low next
week
> > and will make a nice run up near the end of the month. This is a
> > cycle if you look strictly at technicals and fundamentally the
cycle
> > is explained by the funds holding a net short position and must,
> > that is a must, take profit before the end of month to pay the
fund
> > managers their commissions. Trading might not be guaranteed but
> > greed is. Anyone in trading is greedy and the fund managers are
the
> > worst. Don't trade this market just monitor it and see the cycle
> > develop month after month and notice how technicals explain the
> > fundamental or is it vice versa?
> > KS.
> >
> > --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "formulaprimer"
> > <formulaprimer@xxxx> wrote:
> > > "You try to be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful
when
> > others
> > > are greedy" - Warren Buffet
> > >
> > > "Don't mistake skill for a bull market" - some success trader.
> > >
> > > KS
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