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Hi TecloGeo
I see what you're saying, yes I have read Superfrag's post (four or
five times) and yes it does make perfect sense. But I am one to
think up and test my own theory's and part of these theory test have
lead me to believe I need to mathematically define the trend just as
well as my highlighter can but MS still doesn't like FmlVal
("Highlighter","Green") no mater how hard I try. I'll give your
moving averages ago but as Jim state's in Roy newsletter moving
averages have build in lag and I really need to pin point the start
and end of the trend just like I can with the highlighter.
Regards
Rodney
"if everything seems to be going well, you have obviously overlooked
something."
--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "TecloGeo" <teclogeo@xxxx>
wrote:
> Rodney,
>
>
>
> I've seen from your posts in the ICE users group why you are
asking this
> question and I think you might be making things harder for
yourself than you
> need to. The first thing though, is that you should take a look at
what
> Superfrag has posted recently regarding developing systems for up
and down
> trends. Won't repeat it here, just to say that everything he says
makes
> perfect sense - both in theory and, most importantly, in practice.
It's the
> best 'advice' post that I have seen posted on this or any other
group.
>
>
>
> Secondly, if you are looking to define historical trends
mathematically so
> that you can then pick periods where there is equal market bias
and then
> test your system on it, you're putting the cart before the horse
somewhat.
> Again, read what superfrag has said - have seperate up-trend buy
and
> down-trend sell systems and put your energies into determining how
and when
> to trust those systems and when to ignore the signals. In a
word."filters".
> For back testing, the best tools you can use to determine a
suitable period
> are your own eyes and, if you really need some confirmation of
what you're
> seeing, a couple of moving averages. There really is no need to
get more
> scientific or complicated than that. Your own brain contains the
best
> pattern recognition software there is.why try and replicate its
function for
> something so simple as picking out historical trends, or lack
thereof, for
> back-testing? Get that highlighter out man!!
>
>
>
>
>
> _____
>
> From: platt_rodney [mailto:platt_rodney@x...]
> Sent: Sunday, January 23, 2005 12:50 PM
> To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Hindsight trending
>
>
>
>
>
> Is there a way to identify the trend of historical data? I know it
> sound strange, why would you want to know the trend of historical
> data? Because I am trying to identify a period of data with a good
> balance of up trend, down trend and sideways moving market data.
>
> So if any one has a way(s) to identify the market trend in
> hindsight, beside getting the old highlighter out and drawing on
the
> monitor it would be much appreciated.
>
> Regards
> Rodney
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> _____
>
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