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Re: [EquisMetaStock Group] Should I follow indicators?



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Well my initial pass of the trading 
books/people/seminars/advice/websites/newsletters/my losses all 
indicate your point: that one's system may be simply flipping a coin 
to pick stocks but it will work with good money management. 
Conversely, the world's best system is likly to fail without good 
money management (and a bad system will always fail even with mm).

I'm practicing Elder's method (complicated a bit thru the use of 
options for leverage), but there's got to be more... So, where's the 
thread on money management?

--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, superfragalist <no_reply@xxxx> 
wrote:
> 
> 
> Well, I guess we're going to share different opinions on this issue 
> tonight. Trading IS made unnecessarily complicated--that's true. 
> Unfortunately that is often due to the lack of education on the 
> subject. 
> 
> Learning to trade is a journey from the excitment of thinking 
you're 
> going to make a lot of money, to trying to find the grail, to 
> reinventing every wheel, to realizing that all you're going to find 
> is something that works some of the time, to creating your own 
system 
> and then becoming confident in the fact that you know it works for 
> you. You can't do that sitting in a room in front a computer screen 
> playing hit and miss video poker all day, and then watching 
> television the rest of the night.
> 
> Too many people get into this, and then won't bother to learn 
> anything about anything. They want plug-in play trading. They ask a 
> few humdrum questions on here about how to program some magical 
setup 
> or indicator that they heard was the one that was going to make 
them 
> bundles of cash. Oh well.
> 
> What the book failed to point out is that all the top traders read 
> and study everything written by other top traders, and they talk to 
> each other. They don't ask each other dumb-butt questions like 
what's 
> the one BEST book I should read---that's the first question out of 
> the mouth of someone who isn't going to succeed. 
> 
> Discipline starts with an education. If you don't have the 
discipline 
> to study the business of trading--the whole business, not some 
guru's 
> seminar--then you don't have the discipline to stick to a system. A 
> system is a range of things, including position sizing and money 
> management, which is the least discussed topic on this website. 
Those 
> two things are far more important than what indicators you use. How 
> many people on here know what optimal f is, how to calculate it, 
have 
> a program to calculate it, know the drawbacks to using optimal f or 
> how to overcome them? Everyone tries to optimize their indicators 
but 
> how many people on here know that money management techniques can 
be 
> tested just like indicators and that certain types of money 
> management strategies can impact trading profits from identical 
> systems by as much as ten times. 
> 
> There are many, many ways to approach trading, and until you learn 
> what they are about and find the system that is right for you, you 
> aren't going anywhere but off to find a new hobby. 
> 
> KISS isn't a synonym for ignorant. Simplicity comes from expertise. 
> Great musicians make playing look easy. Great traders make trading 
> look easy. That simplistic ease they approach their craft with is 
not 
> backed by a lack of knowledge. 
> 
> Basically you formulated your opinion while you were reading a 
> trading book? I hope that book didn't convince you to stop reading 
> other books!
> 
> And I do agree with Andrew that Van Tharp is not a guru of 
anything, 
> but it's a good place to start because he handles a lot of general 
> myths right out of the box. Don't pick a guru like Elder and think 
he 
> has all the answers, or that because his system works for him, it's 
> going to work for you. Read all the gurus, blend it together, 
> customzie to fit and then apply the system. After you have your 
> system, keep reading--not because there is something better and you 
> have to find it, but to keep your brain alive and thinking. 
> 
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Pam and Ken Johnston 
> <milocat@xxxx> wrote:
> > 
> > I hate to contradict Superfragalist because its obvious from his 
> posts that 
> > he knows that about which he speaks but I have to offer a 
> completely 
> > different opinion.  Trading is made unnecessarily complicated by 
> most 
> > people.  I remember reading a book about top traders and one of 
the 
> > interviewees made a refreshingly different observation about 
> trading, 
> > essentially he said that the good news was that finding a good 
> method to 
> > trade that produced excellent results over time wasn't very 
> difficult.  The 
> > bad news was that having the discipline to stick to any given 
> method was way 
> > beyond most people.
> > I would forget about 100 different books and psychological 
> consultants. 
> > Find a simple method that makes sense to you(otherwise you will 
> abandon it) 
> > and resolve to stick with it.  Astrocycles-time extraction-fibo 
> squares etc 
> > are likely no better than moving averages-the tough part is 
picking 
> a method 
> > and staying the course.
> > I doubt that there is any facet of human existence where the KISS 
> principle 
> > is more applicable than trading.
> > ----- Original Message ----- 
> > From: "superfragalist" <no_reply@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Monday, January 10, 2005 9:44 AM
> > Subject: Re: [EquisMetaStock Group] Should I follow indicators?
> > 
> > 
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Yeah, I have a suggestion. You should read somewhere around a 
100
> > > trading and systems development books, and then if you plow 
> another
> > > few thousand hours into understanding what you've read, 
> experimenting
> > > and figuring out how to trade with what you've come up with, 
then
> > > you'll be close, really close.
> > >
> > > There's nothing anyone on here is going to post that will help 
you
> > > more than the above mentioned paragraph.
> > >
> > > If there was one good indicator--or trading method--we'd all be 
> using
> > > it. We ain't. Indicators fit people and personalities. It's all 
in
> > > what you can use, and no one on here, or anywhere else, can 
define
> > > that for you.
> > >
> > > Go to amazon buy every book they have on trading and sytems
> > > development and you'll be off to a relatively mild start, but
> > > generally in the right direction.
> > >
> > > Read Van Tharp's Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom first. 
That 
> will
> > > get rid of a lot of your misconceptions like entries are 
> important.
> > > Read the other 100 books next, and then read Van Tharp's again. 
By
> > > that time you might have a prayer of getting it.
> > >
> > > If you want easy--go bowling!
> > >
> > > Sorry, but them's the realities.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Yahoo! Groups Links
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >








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