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Getting back to this board after ages, and was just catching up.
Saw this post, and think its my duty to post a word of caution. Such
systems, which use s reference, always give good results in
retrospect, because the following data always influences the math.
To test this type of system, please delete a certain portion of your
actual data, add each day's data, one by one, and THEN decide on the
efficiency of the system.
I've suffered burn fingers on this account.
Dusant
--- In Metastockusers@xxxx, "DAVID H. LINTON" <dhlinton@xxxx> wrote:
> MessageRight. Thanks. Learn something every day.
> David
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Walter LE CORDIER
> To: Metastockusers@xxxx
> Sent: October 23, 2002 11:12 AM
> Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Shifted moving average
>
>
> You might want to play around with creating your own 'early
warning system'. Here is an example. Create a daily chart, add the
following moving averages: 1) length 15, offset 0, source close,
exponential, color green 2) length 5, offset 0, source close,
exponential, color pink 3) length 3, offset -3, source close,
exponential, color grey. The shifted moving average (the -3 offset)
will serve as your early warning.
>
> For example, if you are short and the grey line crosses over the
pink line - get ready to exit...when it passes over the pink and the
green line, get out. Or, for cautious folks, you could exit when it
crosses the pink line.
>
> Walter
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: DAVID H. LINTON
> To: Metastockusers@xxxx
> Sent: Wednesday, October 23, 2002 4:34 PM
> Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Shifted moving average
>
>
> Ref(Mov(Close,3,e),+3) plots a current 3 period ema point 3
periods in the past. What is the value of this?
> David
>
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