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Suggest you try it on intraday data first, using much smaller
increments.
Since it probably works great until the last loss wipes you
out, try to get a gov't backer. They have been doing this with paper money
for years with hardly any complaints.
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
David
DeFina
To: <A title=metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx">metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, July 13, 2001 10:53
AM
Subject: RE: Naz 100 futures buy and hold
system
<FONT face=Arial color=navy
size=2>I’ve
used a similar methodology in Blackjack, except doubling my bet each time I
lose. It works great some of the
time, but long losing streaks are painful.<FONT face=Arial
color=black size=2><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-color-alt: windowtext">
<DIV
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<P class=MsoNormal
style="BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 0in; BORDER-TOP: medium none; PADDING-LEFT: 0in; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; MARGIN-LEFT: 39pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-TOP: 0in; BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-border-left-alt: solid blue 1.5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0in 0in 0in 3.0pt"><FONT
face=Arial color=black size=2><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I wonder if anyone
has any thoughts on the following system. Assuming one has the necessary
capitalization and patience, would it work? Rules 1. Go long
only. 2. Buy the front month Naz emini at 1800, 1700, 1600, 1500, 1400,
etc. all the way down or all the way up! 3. Sell each contract
only when it reaches a 100 point profit. 4. Rollover if necessary.
<SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-color-alt: windowtext">
<FONT face=Arial color=black
size=2><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">This is a
strategy widely known as "scale trading". It takes a lot of capital to
make it work. You also need to use "last in - first out" accounting.
The hidden danger is a prolonged down market where you wind up holding
a huge position of big losers and run out of capital. It also
violates the common axiom of "cut your losses and let your profits run".
This strategy holds losers forever and always takes small profits.
It might work in particular circumstances but be careful about
using this strategy on a regular basis. Chuck
LeBeau<SPAN
style="COLOR: black; mso-color-alt: windowtext">
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