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Re: (Market) A few trades I am looking at



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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jeff,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Sugar is always a quirky market to trade...but, we 
whack at it from time to time.&nbsp; Currently, we're waiting for a retracement 
to the 6.10 level.&nbsp; We feel there is evidence&nbsp;gathering that will 
allow us to position lower:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>1.&nbsp; Monday's "bearish engulfing 
candle"...nasty, nasty</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>2.&nbsp; The curl on the 13 day moving average 
looks like Elvis Presley's lip</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>3.&nbsp; The major trendline is at 
~6.10</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>4.&nbsp; The 144 day moving average is at 
~6.10</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>5.&nbsp; The 34 day moving average is at 
~6.10</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>6.&nbsp; The 38.2% retracement from the high is at 
~6.10</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>7.&nbsp; And the continuing divergence between the 
momentum oscillators and price</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>8.&nbsp; Did I mention the gap at 
6.10?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I could always change my mind (I mean, like wow, 
the markets are so dynamic).&nbsp; Lots of folks, who have made lots of money 
(from under 4 cents), are "pressuring" to initiate new long positions.&nbsp;  
For the moment, we're trying to placate them with an array of technical reasons 
why they should keep the "powder dry".&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve Karnish<BR>Cedar Creek Trading<BR><A 
href="http://www.cedarcreektrading.com";>http://www.cedarcreektrading.com</A></FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A href="mailto:j.ledermann@xxxxxxxxx"; title=j.ledermann@xxxxxxxxx>Jeff 
  Ledermann</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, May 08, 2000 7:54 PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: (Market) A few trades I am 
  looking at</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
  class=373552400-09052000>Adam,</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
  class=373552400-09052000></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=373552400-09052000>With regards to 
  Sugar my reading of the chart is bullish. Technically Sugar has been very well 
  behaved</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=373552400-09052000>for a 
  change&nbsp;with the last two moves fulfilling measuring implications 
  precisely.&nbsp; The latest pennant</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=373552400-09052000>implies a move to 
  7.14 which just happens to be the next Fib. level up.&nbsp; (Of course this 
  assumes it can punch</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=373552400-09052000>through the 
  current Fib level otherwise you may well be right. At least the pennant gave 
  me a nice </SPAN></FONT><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
  class=373552400-09052000>tight stop)</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=373552400-09052000><IMG align=bottom 
  alt="" border=0 hspace=0 src="cid:000901bfb9d6$74730c60$a41ea13f@xxxxxxx"; 
  style="HEIGHT: 469px; WIDTH: 624px"></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman" 
    size=2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> 
    owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]<B>On 
    Behalf Of</B> Adam Hefner<BR><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, 9 May 2000 
    12:52<BR><B>To:</B> metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx<BR><B>Subject:</B> (Market) A 
    few trades I am looking at<BR><BR></FONT>For 5 / 9 / 2000</FONT><FONT 
    face=Arial size=2></FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Jun S&amp;P 500</FONT></DIV>
    <UL>
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Short MIT = 1441.75</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Stop&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; = 
      1458.</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Target&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; = 
      1390-1394</FONT></LI></UL>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Jun Live Cattle</FONT></DIV>
    <UL>
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Long MIT&nbsp; = 68.475</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Stop&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; = 
      68.2</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Target&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;= 
      70-70.1 ( monthly )</FONT></LI></UL>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Jul Sugar</FONT></DIV>
    <UL>
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Short MIT = 6.5</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Stop&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; = 
      6.75</FONT> 
      <LI><FONT face=Arial size=2>Target&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;= 
      5.6 (optimistic monthly)</FONT></LI></UL>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>These are NOT trade recommendations....this is 
    JUST a test. DO NOT TRADE!!</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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