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Re: Picking our stocks



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Me too !

Thanks

Rajesh

Nicolas Leupold wrote:

> Please send me the file
> Regards,
>
> Nicolas Leupold
> leupold@xxxxxxxxxx
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Guy Tann <grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: Metastock User Group <metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: 01 June 2000 15:59
> Subject: Picking our stocks
>
> > List,
> >
> > If anyone is interested, I have an Excel spreadsheet that I put together
> > with 3 pages.  The first page lists those 13 stocks we selected out of the
> > original 55 gleaned from ValueLine.  The second page is a quick analysis
> of
> > what would have happened if we had bought all 55 of the list, and the
> third
> > page shows our breakout of 25 stocks from the original 55 using one of our
> > programs to determine over-bought or over-sold conditions.  These 25
> stocks
> > were, according to our system, ready to be bought.
> >
> > If anybody is interested, I can send them a copy, but didn't want to just
> > throw it out on the list.
> >
> > Our stock selection technique is as follows:
> >
> > 1) Friday night, we go out on the ValueLine web site and go down to their
> > stock pages.  We select those stocks that have a 1 in timeliness, and a 1
> or
> > 2 in whatever the second column is to the right of timeliness.  We look
> for
> > a beta > 1.25.  I think we snuck INTC in as well.  This is our preliminary
> > cut.  This gave us a list of 55 different stocks.  We try to stick with
> the
> > top performing industries.
> > 2) In the next step we apply one of our trading programs to each stock, to
> > determine whether or not our program indicates that the stock was
> over-sold.
> > If it was over-sold, we added the stock to our next list.  This reduced
> the
> > actual number of stocks from 55 to 25, I believe.
> > 3) Theoretically, we could have bought all 25.  Finally, we go through the
> > list by hand on a conference call and arbitrarily select between 10 and 15
> > stocks that we buy on the next day's open.  We haven't spent any time on
> > this step yet, and through dumb luck have managed to do fairly well with
> our
> > portfolio.
> >
> > I have to give my brother for designing this approach.  We will be
> spending
> > more time on step 3 as well as working on modifying the procedure for the
> > short side.  Right now my brother is a little nervous selling stocks
> short.
> > You would think that after trading futures both ways for 40 years, he
> > wouldn't have that problem.
> >
> > Anyway, we went with 13 original stocks on Tuesday's open and added 4 more
> > this morning.  Based on my preliminary calculations we are a little ahead
> > with our own portfolio as opposed to buying all 25 stock, but not by much.
> >
> > We are in the process of going back and entering the OB/OS indicator in
> this
> > spreadsheet to do some more work on Step 2 and Step 3, above.
> >
> > By the way, purchasing even 100 shares of each of these 55 stocks stressed
> > out each of our margin accounts, but we could have done it with a little
> to
> > spare.
> >
> > Guy
> >
> > Paranoia...you only have to be right once to make it all worthwhile!
> >
> >
> >