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Re: Somebody please say it ain't so!



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Owen,

You might want to open your system tester, select options, and adjust to
"delay 1".

Steve Karnish
Cedar Creek Trading
http://www.cedarcreektrading.com
----- Original Message -----
From: Owen Davies <owen@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, July 26, 2000 6:14 AM
Subject: Somebody please say it ain't so!


> I've just returned to Metastock in the last few months.
> Used to use an early version to test systems (not
> that I'd actually trade one) on daily charts, but switched
> to Supercharts for a couple of features that Metastock
> didn't have in those days.  This time around, I'm using
> MS pretty much just as an interface to e-Signal.
>
> However, to get hard numbers on a horseback observation,
> I just wrote up a system and tested it on T-bonds.  Nothing
> fancy.  Just go with an oscillator whenever it crosses up
> out of oversold territory or down out of overbought.  Made
> money on bar lengths from 1-minute to daily.  Then it dawned
> on me what those raw numbers translated to.  I'd be as
> happy as the next man to have made $133K in bonds since
> the beginning of June (maybe even happier!), but somehow
> it didn't seem plausible.
>
> Near as I can figure, the System Tester enters and exits
> trades on the opening price of a bar, using indicator values
> that can't be calculated until the close of the bar.  Thus trades
> that would have lost money in the real world look like they
> made money in the system-test reports.
>
> Could anyone really be stupid enough to write their software
> that way?  If so, it makes even Miami Lice look good.
> (Well, maybe not in any absolute sense, but by the apparent
> standards of their industry.)
>
> Somebody please tell me this program isn't useless for
> anything beyond turning raw data into pretty pictures.
>
> Owen Davies
>





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