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Re: First calculation problem



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Guy:
You have done us a great service by showing why metastock can't/doesn't work
as we expect it. The problem is very subtle.  When similar questions were
raised in the past, Equis denied that anything was wrong with the program.

Now if only TAS were upgraded to a windows program....!

This reminds me of one of Murphy's rules: in any calculation, the number
that you are most confident that it is correct, is in error.

Please keep us posted on your work.

Warm regards.
Lionel Issen
lissen@xxxxxxxxx
----- Original Message -----
From: Guy Tann <grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, September 05, 2000 12:47 AM
Subject: RE: First calculation problem


> Lionel,
>
> Detroit was called Murder City for years.  Maybe Chicago inherited the
title
> posthumously.  :)
>
> No one was more surprised than I was with this "little" error that crept
> into my calculations.  With our indicator, this "error" occurred in my
test
> set near the beginning and added .2 to every subsequent calculation for
that
> indicator and impacted all other calculations using that number (C - L).
I
> probably would have found it earlier if I had known what I was looking
for.
> This comes from originally developing our systems using higher level
> business languages with good computational capabilities, and then
expecting
> future language to be able to duplicate these calculations.
>
> Foolish me, I assumed that MS could subtract a 2 decimal number from
another
> 2 decimal number and provide me with an answer represented as a two
decimal
> number.  Every other piece of software I own has that capability,
regardless
> of the precision used.  While I understand there are methods to confuse
> programs that use single precision arithmatic, and if I was doing anything
> sophisticated I could understand how you might possibly have significant
> digit errors occurring in the computation.  But we're talking subtraction
> here!  We're talking about taking one number with 2 decimals [PICTURE
> 9(4)v99 to use an old COBOL representation] and subtracting another number
> with 2 decimals from it.  I don't really give a flying whatever about
> internal representation, I would just like the right answer to magically
> appear.  What this means to me is that I have to, in order to play safe,
go
> back and check every one of my indicators against one or two other
languages
> to insure that MS hasn't magically influenced my system.  Since we're
> talking about trading some serious money here, it means we'll be running
our
> parallel systems for a longer than planned.
>
> My first conversion to MS took almost 6 months several years ago.  I can
> just see taking the next four months off doing this one.  More and more
I'm
> starting to think Walter's right and that I really need to get my act
> together, bite the bullet, and move everything into VBA and Excel (and
yes,
> I did test Excel and it can perform the correct calculation) or just plain
> VB.  I'm going to sit down next week and take a look at my various options
> and at the different languages I own.  I had hoped to avoid this but even
if
> I get this running in MS, I think I'm going to have to pursue other
options.
> At least I have a test data set for the S&P futures available in MS, xBase
> and .TXT formats.  This will help with the debugging if nothing else.
>
> Guy
>
> " When I die, I want to go peacefully like my grandfather did, in his
sleep.
> Not yelling and screaming like the passengers in his car."
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
> Behalf Of Lionel Issen
> Sent: Monday, September 04, 2000 6:47 PM
> To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: First calculation problem
>
> Guy:
>
> I am also puzzled by this. Some time ago, someone from Equis mentioned on
> this listserver that Metastock was written in C++ or C.  While I do not
> program in C++ or C, any manual on these languages shows that numbers can
be
> declared as double precision and long precision. It follows that Metastock
> can also have this capability. Perhaps the default precision in Metastock
> should be double precision instead of single precision.
>
> Guy, no one should have to go thru these tedious exercises to get correct
> answers. You have clarified for me why Metastock sometimes produces weird
> answers that don't seem to conform to reality.
>
> I thought that Chicago was called Murder City.  Has the title passed to
> Detroit?
>
> Regards
> Lionel Issen
> lissen@xxxxxxxxx
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Guy Tann <grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Monday, September 04, 2000 7:28 PM
> Subject: RE: First calculation problem
>
>
> > Ken,
> >
> > Sorry for the delay, but my DSL modem crapped out and then I was
visiting
> > Murder City until today.
> >
> > I wasn't typing anything into the computer.  I used Equis' Downloader
and
> > Reuter's data service to download my data.  I then use MS to massage it.
> > Interestingly, TAS uses the Downloader data as well without any of these
> > problems.  Using OLE to access the data in Excel works properly as well.
> It
> > appears that these other software packages manage to keep track of the
> > correct number of decimal places, whereas MS just sort of goes with the
> flow
> > and takes whatever it might find stored.  I really don't care as long as
I
> > know that accuracy isn't one of MS' strong suits.  I can understand your
> > points, but in working with many programming languages, they all manage
to
> > do something to keep track of significant digits without barfing.
Again,
> if
> > I was doing anything complex, I could understand your point completely,
> but
> > the inability to subtract two numbers and consistently come up with the
> > correct answer is still hard for me to fathom.
> >
> > Anyway, here is a sample of some of the code I've had to use to get
around
> > this in one instance.  By the way, none of my other programming language
s
> or
> > Excel require these mechanizations.  It appears that MS was designed as
a
> > charting or graphics program with computational capabilities added as an
> > afterthought.  What we need to remember is that if we want to use it as
> > such, we'll need to work around its deficiencies ourselves.
> >
> > COMN0:= C - COMMODLOW;  {simple subtraction of C - L}
> > COMN:= PREC( If( COMN0 > 0 , (COMN0+.005), If( COMN0 < 0 , (COMN0 -
.005 )
> ,
> > COMN0 )) , 2 ); {needed to fix MS inability to maintain significant
> digits}
> > COMN1:= COMN / COMAR;  {simple divide}
> > COMN2:= COMN1 - .5;  {Simple subtraction}
> > COMN3:= COMN2 * 2;   {simple multiplication}
> > COMN3R:= If( COMN3 > 0 , (COMN3 + .00005 ) ,
> >          If( COMN3 < 0 , (COMN3 - .00005 ) ,
> >          0 ) );  {rounding to 4 decimal places performed manually}
> > COMN4:= ( PREC( COMN3R, 4 ) * 10);  {take answer to 4 decimals and
> multiply
> > by 10}
> > COMN5:= If( COMN4 > 0 , ( COMN4 ) + .5 , If( COMN4 < 0 , ( COMN4 ) - .5
,
> > ( COMN4 ) ));  {round to nearest whole number}
> > COMY:= Int( COMN5 );   {store integer}
> >
> > This does work, albeit in a slightly confused manner and requires 8 more
> > variables than it should.  Using this fixed the one erroneous
calculation
> I
> > had and let me move on for further testing.
> >
> > OTOH, I am now working on trying to get the Ref() function to work per
the
> > manual and will try to get some time to spend on it tonight if I can
stay
> > awake.  I was up at 4AM Detroit time (1AM local time) and have over 400
> > e-mails to wade through since 8/29 (most of which I deleted).
> >
> > Guy
> >
> > " When I die, I want to go peacefully like my grandfather did, in his
> sleep.
> > Not yelling and screaming like the passengers in his car."
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
> > Behalf Of PD Manager
> > Sent: Tuesday, August 29, 2000 10:05 AM
> > To: 'metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx'
> > Subject: RE: First calculation problem
> >
> > Guy:
> >
> > The precision error occurs as soon as the number is stored in your
> computer.
> > If you are typing a number into a computer (such as 12.1), as soon as
that
> > number is stored in a single precision floating point number in your
> > computer, the precision error is there.  The number is already stored as
> an
> > approximation.  This is a CPU / hardware issue and is not related to the
> > software itself.
> >
> > Most software will mask this error by doing rounding of a floating point
> > number before it is displayed.  In the case of the 1469.3999999, if you
> ask
> > a computer to display that number with two digits to the right of the
> > decimal point, rounding occurs and you will see 1469.40, but the number
is
> > actually stored in the computer as 1469.3999999.  This is true even if
you
> > entered a number at the keyboard (or downloaded the number or read it
from
> > some other source) that was 1469.40.
> >
> > The difference between MetaStock and your other packages is that the
other
> > software is performing the rounding before the results are displayed on
> the
> > screen.  MetaStock is not doing this and is displaying the numbers out
to
> > the maximum possible length.  I assure you that if other software
packages
> > are displaying 1469.40, the internal representation is actually
> > 1469.3999999.  The approximation and actual storage of the numbers is a
> > function of the CPU hardware and not the software package itself.
> >
> > Ken Hunt
> > Programming Manager
> > Equis International
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Guy Tann [mailto:grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > Sent: Monday, August 28, 2000 12:34 PM
> > To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: RE: First calculation problem
> >
> >
> > Ken,
> >
> > I guess I still don't understand what's happening here.
> >
> > These numbers were downloaded from Reuters and were stored in the O, H,
L,
> C
> > data arrays, all handled internally by Equis.  My assumption is that
these
> > numbers were downloaded properly and that they contain only the two
> decimal
> > places shown in the data and in the data window. Going out and looking
at
> > the numbers in Downloader and in the related Chart supports that
> assumption.
> > Is that an invalid assumption?  These numbers only have two decimal
places
> > to begin with.  Did MS somehow managed to "modify" the original input
and
> > store them as something like 1469.3999999?
> >
> > If that's the case, then using Precision in order to insure that simple
> > arithmetic calculations to maintain the two decimals places appears to
be
> a
> > requirement.
> >
> > Generally, there are very few problems occurring, but they are
sufficient
> to
> > throw off some of our results.
> >
> > We have these calculations running in Clipper, Excel, COBOL, and TAS
> without
> > problems.
> >
> > We only have three different levels of precision in our system and they
> are
> > 0, 2, and 4.  We either use the Rnd() function or in cases like the one
> I'm
> > working on right now, manually code our own rounding.
> >
> > Guy
> >
> > " When I die, I want to go peacefully like my grandfather did, in his
> sleep.
> > Not yelling and screaming like the passengers in his car."
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
> > Behalf Of PD Manager
> > Sent: Monday, August 28, 2000 8:15 AM
> > To: 'metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx'
> > Subject: RE: First calculation problem
> >
> > Isn't programming with floating point numbers fun? <g>
> >
> > Floating point errors tend to compound as more calculations are
performed.
> > I could write an entire book on the subject (I'm sure there are books
> > written on just this subject).  Typically, floating point numbers are
> > guaranteed to have 6-7 digits of precision.  When you start doing
> > mathematical operations on these numbers, there are times when some of
> these
> > strange issues will creep in.
> >
> > What I have found is that you should use the precision function only if
> you
> > are trying to compare floating point numbers.  Otherwise just stick with
> the
> > standard calculations.
> >
> > What is amazing is that although your numbers look good to start with
> > (1486.20 and 1469.40) the error is probably already there.  The actual
> > numbers stored in the computer may already be something like
> (1486.20000001
> > or 1469.3999999).  Usually when these numbers are prepared for output
> > (display or printed) the software will perform rounding to get them to
> look
> > like the numbers you entered.  When you perform a mathematical operation
> on
> > these numbers, the error becomes more apparent so that the rounding
before
> > output didn't make your result look correct.
> >
> > Virtually any computer that stored floating point numbers has this
> problem.
> > I worked on flight simulations for several years and the only way we
could
> > get around the problem was to do EVERYTHING in integer math and keep
track
> > of assumed decimal points.
> >
> > Ken Hunt
> > Programming Manager
> > Equis International
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Guy Tann [mailto:grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > Sent: Sunday, August 27, 2000 1:50 AM
> > To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: RE: First calculation problem
> >
> >
> > Ken,
> >
> > Are you saying that I need to add the prec() function to each one of my
> > variable calculations?  Does this problem compound when building systems
> > using calculations upon calculations or will the prec() function used at
> > each level take care of the problem?
> >
> > Guy
> >
> > Never be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the ark,
> > professionals built the Titanic.
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
> > Behalf Of PD Manager
> > Sent: Friday, August 25, 2000 7:35 AM
> > To: 'metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx'
> > Subject: RE: First calculation problem
> >
> > MetaStock does indeed use single precision floating point numbers.  As
you
> > mentioned, going to double precision would literally double the memory
> > requirements for data storage for charts and would also slow down
> > calculations.  When you get into mathematical calculations, however,
going
> > to double precision doesn't necessarily make the problem better.  PC
> > computer hardware still cannot accurately store a number as simple as
0.1
> > whether you are using single or double precision.  It is stored as an
> > approximation.  When it comes to floating point numbers, the hardware
can
> > really only accurately store fractional numbers that are powers of two
> (1/2,
> > 1/4, 1/8, 1/16 etc).
> >
> > Other software packages suffer from the same problem (including VB and
> > Excel) although some manage to mask it better than others.  If you don't
> > believe this, I can submit a set of "simple" calculations that will
cause
> > Excel to show precision errors also.
> >
> > Some software packages will use other methods to store and/or calculate
> > floating point numbers.  This usually involves something like BCD
encoding
> > or some type of integer encoded fixed point real numbers.  While this
> > ultimately solves the precision problem, it has other problems with
speed
> of
> > calculations as well as a reduced ability to store large or very small
> > numbers.
> >
> > We have always been aware of this issue and that is why we added the
> > precision function to the formula language.  It was put there in an
> attempt
> > to help those writing formulas to work with the precision they needed.
> >
> > Ken Hunt
> > Programming Manager
> > Equis International
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Kent Rollins [mailto:kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > Sent: Friday, August 25, 2000 12:40 AM
> > To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: Re: First calculation problem
> >
> >
> > Looks like you may have hit the old single-precision problem.  PCs
> basically
> > have 3 native ways of storing floating point numbers: single-precision
(4
> > bytes), double-precision (8 bytes), and long double (10 bytes).  The
> problem
> > is that each one of these representations has a limited number of
> "numbers"
> > that it can represent and from time to time you will hit a calculation
> that
> > reveals this limitation in all it's splendor.  Single-precision floats
can
> > represent approximately 4 billion different numbers.  That's a lot until
> you
> > consider that between 0 and 1 there are an infinite number of floating
> point
> > numbers.  Double-precision has many, many more number that it can
> represent
> > (4 billion times 4 billion) and you RARELY see the kind of error you
have
> > hit when you are dealing with numbers on the scale of 1486 with only 2
> > places of precision.  That leads me to suspect that Equis is using
> > single-precision numbers for these calculations (Omega does the same
> thing).
> > Saves memory, SLIGHTLY faster in computation, loses precision.  There is
> > really no good reason for using singles in an app like this and there is
a
> > (now obvious) good reason not to.  I would scream and yell at Equis.
Tell
> > Little Guy that if he convinces Equis to use doubles you'll buy him a
pony
> > and then drop him off in the programmer's offices.
> >
> > Ken Hunt, does MetaStock use single precision for these calculations?
> >
> > Kent
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Guy Tann <grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: Metastock User Group <metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Date: Friday, August 25, 2000 1:29 AM
> > Subject: First calculation problem
> >
> >
> > List,
> >
> > Well, I decided to do a little more work and discovered my first
problem.
> >
> > Somehow, MS came up with the following:
> >
> >      1486.20
> > - 1469.40
> >           16.7999 instead of the more commonly expected 16.80
> >
> > Now the first number is the Close and the second number is the day's
low,
> so
> > we can't blame this on any previous calculation or anything left over
from
> > something else.  Well, that's not quite true.  The Low used in the
> > calculation was the result of an IF() statement that made sure that the
> Low
> > was really the Low by our definition (by checking it against the
previous
> > day's Close).
> >
> > What internal methodology might cause this excellent bit of subtraction?
> >
> > Granted, in checking out the 170-member dataset, I didn't check them
all.
> I
> > checked the first 20 and the last 20.  Now I'll probably have to go back
> and
> > sample some in the middle.
> >
> > I used my trusty, solar powered calculator to double-check my Clipper
> output
> > and they both agree that MS is wrong.  Any suggestions?
> >
> > This is making me very nervous and might force me back to Excel and/or
VB.
> > So far I've spent over two week on this relatively simple program and I
> have
> > to admit that I never thought it would be necessary to go back and
> > double-check such basic arithmetic.
> >
> >
> > Guy
> >
> > Never be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the ark,
> > professionals built the Titanic.
> >
>