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Re: Wheat



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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Manuel,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The majority of my work has&nbsp;focused on 
momentum oscillators.&nbsp; Please understand:&nbsp; I struggled with graduate 
statistics and actually feel that passing college calculus (in my late "40's") 
was one of the "miracles of life".&nbsp;&nbsp;The CCT Bollinger Band Histogram 
has&nbsp;received a lot of attention lately.&nbsp; In fact,&nbsp;starting 
on&nbsp;Thursday, at the TAG seminar in Las Vegas, Prophet Finance will 
be&nbsp;"introducing" this indicator to the "world".&nbsp; Soon, the public will 
be able to access this indicator at a java charting site (it's the indicator 
that pops up when you plug in a symbol at my site ... try W9912 as&nbsp;the 
symbol for December&nbsp;Wheat).&nbsp; I'm also writing&nbsp;a MetaStock 
softwareadd-on that will include the Histogram as part of package of ten 
indicators and it will be discussed in a book that should follow in the second 
quarter of 2000 (focusing on momentum oscillators).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I've always liked John Bollinger's bands, but the 
squiggly lines have always confused me.&nbsp; I reconstructed the exact formula 
(well, not exactly, I've made a few secret changes) into something that makes 
more sense to me.&nbsp; John's "bands" create an envelope that brackets the 
market.&nbsp; This envelope is two standard deviations from the average (mean) 
price.&nbsp; The average is typically a simple moving average of the last twenty 
days.&nbsp; In John's formulas, the bands expand and contract based on 
volatility.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>In my reconstruction, I decided to straighten the 
lines out and peg the upper band to always represent 100 and the lower band to 
represent zero.&nbsp; If today's close was identical to the 20 day simple moving 
average, the closing price would be resting exactly equal distance between 
John's bands and on my histogram:&nbsp;the indicator would be pegged to 50 
(halfway between the two lines).&nbsp; If the price starts to appreciate and the 
20 period moving average starts to increase in value:&nbsp; John's bands would 
curve up to represent the adjusted higher average price.&nbsp; In my histogram, 
the 100 and zero never stray from their values.&nbsp; Instead, the indicator 
becomes the "closing price as a percentage of the range of the of the two 
bands".&nbsp; If the price closes at a value that exceeds the upper bands two 
standard deviation value, ... then that will be represented on the histogram by 
the indicator exceeding the 100 level.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Maybe, Don, or Adam, or Walter (the real 
programming wizards) can shed more light on the theory or construction of 
Bollinger's work.&nbsp; I'm just a guy "hacking" away at things that work for me 
(momentum oscillators).&nbsp; I don't usually concern myself with the theory, 
I'm more interested in focusing on how it works instead of why it works.&nbsp; 
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hope this helps,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve Karnish<BR>Cedar Creek Trading<BR><A 
href="http://www.abbracadabra.com/cybercast/";>http://www.abbracadabra.com/cybercast/</A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A href="mailto:ALEMANIA@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=ALEMANIA@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Manuel Barquin</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, November 16, 1999 8:03 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: Wheat</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Dear Steve: Re your message on wheat I went to 
  your web page (valuable information), and I read the CCT Bollinger Band 
  Histogram indicator description:</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&lt;&lt;The CCT Bollinger Band Histogram 
  reconfigures the classic bands.&nbsp; The new indicator constructs two (2) 
  parallel lines instead of the erratic envelopes.&nbsp; These parallel lines 
  represent a measurement of two (2) standard deviations from the mean and are 
  assigned zero and 100 on the chart.&nbsp; The indicator represents the price 
  as it travels above and below the mean (50%) and outside the two standard 
  deviations (zero and 100).&nbsp; Penetration of the upper or lower band 
  represents overbought and oversold conditions.&nbsp; When using the CCT 
  Bollinger Band Histogram, &#8220;failure swings&#8221; and &#8220;divergences&#8221; can lead to 
  significant reversals.&gt;&gt;</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve,&nbsp;do you mind&nbsp;sharing&nbsp;&nbsp;a 
  little bit more about your indicator. I&nbsp;am sorry but I cannot picture the 
  indicator description&nbsp;"(2) standard deviations from the mean&nbsp;and are 
  assigned zero and 100&nbsp;on the chart. The indicator represents the price as 
  it&nbsp;travels above and below the mean...."&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I thank you for your help, </FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Manuel Barquin</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A href="mailto:kernish@xxxxxxxxxxxx"; title=kernish@xxxxxxxxxxxx>Steve 
    Karnish</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> ; <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>List</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, November 12, 1999 2:22 
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Wheat</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>List,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>My work has confirmed a buying opportunity in 
    wheat.&nbsp; I'm offsetting my short from 10/19 and going long on the 
    opening.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve Karnish<BR>Cedar Creek Trading<BR><A 
    href="http://www.abbracadabra.com/cybercast/";>http://www.abbracadabra.com/cybercast/</A></FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Tue Nov 16 12:49:46 1999
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Message-ID: <000b01bf306b$1cf95740$862467d1@xxxxxxx>
From: "Walter Lake" <wlake@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <003601bf2ea2$5bd79d20$148a6395@xxxxxxx> <382FD85E.CD27186F@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> <001a01bf2f6d$5fc749a0$4d2367d1@xxxxxxx> <000001bf3048$60d65120$0d2467d1@xxxxxxx> <001a01bf3057$a737c040$1464fea9@xxxxxx>
Subject: Re: formulas
Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 14:45:17 -0500
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Status:   

Hi Lionel

I don't think that she did an Excel 97 book.

Here's Dr. Cottingham's listings from Sybex:

Excel 2000 Developer's Handbook
By Marion Cottingham
ISBN: 0782123287

Microsoft Office 2000 Developer's Set
By Susann Novalis, Guy Hart-Davis, and Marion Cottingham
ISBN: 0782125794

The Excel "in-cell" code and VBA code is the same as 97.

I use Excel 97 and 2000 VBA reference books interchangeably. Luckily, I
found a book store that sells them by the pound <G>

Best regards

Walter

PS: The Excel 97 Developer's Handbook version that I have is not being shown
as a separate volumn but only as a set of 4 books:

Microsoft® Office 97, Developer Edition, Resource Library
 by Microsoft Corporation
Pages  1888
Disk  1 CD
Level  Int/Adv
 Release   6/11/97
Price  99.99 US
ISBN#  1-57231-606-3

The MICROSOFT EXCEL 97 DEVELOPER'S HANDBOOK contains more than 650 pages and
13 chapters in four sections:
Introduction to Microsoft Excel objects and Microsoft Visual Basic for
Applications
Developing information systems and designing custom interfaces
Database access, messaging, and built-in features of Microsoft Excel
Integrating with other applications, the Web, and other topics


----- Original Message -----
From: Lionel Issen <lissen@xxxxxxxx> <lissen@xxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 1999 12:24 PM
Subject: Re: formulas


| Does anyone have a copy of Conningham's book for Excel 97?
| I am using Office 97, because of the basic changes in Office 2000
requiring
| much larger files, I intend to stay put for a while.
|
| Lionel
| ----- Original Message -----
| From: Walter Lake <wlake@xxxxxxxxx>
| To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
| Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 1999 9:34 AM
| Subject: Re: formulas
|
|
| Hi Lars, Angel and others who have written
|
| Here's Marion Cottinham's variations for writing "in-cell" formulas in
VBA:
|
| 1.  Original worksheet code:
|
| =IF(B10>B5,((B4-B3+1)*C4) .... etc.
|
| macro recording:
|