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Re: Question from a newcome - Fw: LET OP DOW ELWAVE



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>What do all these abbreviations mean?&nbsp; I 
assume that sma means simple moving average.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Lionel</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>A.J. Maas &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:anthmaas@xxxxxx";>anthmaas@xxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: </B><A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Cc: 
    </B>rijt, wil v.d. &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:wil.rijt@xxxxxx";>wil.rijt@xxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Thursday, November 12, 1998 7:37 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>Re: Question from 
    a newcome - Fw: LET OP DOW ELWAVE<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV>Note for the Dow the Bull Traps</DIV>
    <DIV>-Tripple Top Bearish Pattern(IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Reversal Head+Shoulders Bearish(IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Reversal Head+Shoulders Bullish(ST)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Rising Wedge in a DownTrend(VST)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Unfinished A,B,C Correction(IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>-A bound to fail Pull Back after Fallout from 97-98 IMT UpTrend 
    Channel(ST)</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; (Channel's Rising Wedge in an UpTrend)</DIV>
    <DIV>-SMA daily 50-200 and 150-200 Dead Crossings(ST+IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ( SMA's 50 and 150 currently resides below 
    SMA200 )&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </DIV>
    <DIV>
    <DIV>-SMA monthly 10-30 Dead Crossing(ST+IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ( SMA 10 currently resides below SMA 30 
)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Divergences Through &quot;DOW Theory&quot;(ST+IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>-Divergences on CMO,RSI etc on daily,weekly+monthly 
    basis(VST+ST+IMT)</DIV>
    <DIV>etc. etc.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Note too, that the at the top of the chart &quot; circled Primary 1 
    &quot; is probably not correct, as the</DIV>
    <DIV>for this chart used Historical Data was way too short, for this count 
    to be correct.</DIV>
    <DIV>The IMT &quot; (5) &quot; is correct being the top of the Intermediate 
    Term, the minute &quot; i, ii, iii, iv, v &quot;</DIV>
    <DIV>are correct ST impulsive waves to the downside, with the &quot; v 
    &quot; not clearly showing up, but</DIV>
    <DIV>that then is due to his Win95 program missing out on a correct font(s). 
    </DIV>
    <DIV>The minuettes a,b,c, for the Very Short Term counts are correct.</DIV>
    <DIV>The Boxed &quot; 2 &quot; is an 'unfinished' minor wave as yet.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>The red lines on the right, with the decimal figures are 
    retracements(in this according</DIV>
    <DIV>to the in the EWaves used Fibionacy figures for retracements 
    percentages and finaly</DIV>
    <DIV>by a program being displayed and also very well, rounded to the top ). 
    As you can see</DIV>
    <DIV>of not much use as any percentage could get hit. More important here, 
    is then to look</DIV>
    <DIV>at the huge 6 months support received at the left side.</DIV>
    <DIV>Also the 7400 level is a full 100% correction of the previous UpTrend 
    length, eg since</DIV>
    <DIV>its breakout last Dec97, and as such not so very common, 50% 
    Corrections of a</DIV>
    <DIV>Trend's Length for any UpTrend to be able to continue, let alone go Up, 
    are more common.</DIV>
    <DIV>(or as the10,15,25,40,50,60,75% retracements are the most frequently 
    appearing and</DIV>
    <DIV>also recorded technical corrections retracements levels, measured from 
    the last Top).</DIV>
    <DIV>That is for the VST. For the ST a retracement measured from the Last 
    Top+Low should</DIV>
    <DIV>be used and a 50 % tech correction would then be 8149 
    ((9323-6975*0.5)+6975).</DIV>
    <DIV>This is why the market reacted on Wave 1 as if it was to be oversold, 
    and has started</DIV>
    <DIV>a counter up wave 2. </DIV>
    <DIV>This Wave 2 is still sort of in process, however it is also a Wave 2 in 
    a Downtrend, also</DIV>
    <DIV>a Diagonal Triangle (or a Rising Wedge in the DownTrend).</DIV>
    <DIV>From a fallout from this Diagonal Triangle, downbreaking its rising 
    support line, then by</DIV>
    <DIV>measuring this pattern hight on the day it started developing, on 
    981008 a hight H=1000</DIV>
    <DIV>can be calculated (8468-7468).</DIV>
    <DIV>From yesterday's signaled fallout (981112 fallout level 8885) a for the 
    VST future target</DIV>
    <DIV>of 7885 can be calculated and creates Wave 3.</DIV>
    <DIV>A further look in the future outcomes will then be decided by this 
    level giving support enough</DIV>
    <DIV>for it to hold, or to continue with the 4 months old DownTrend.</DIV>
    <DIV>A further lower level of 6800(previous minor Support&amp;Resistance in 
    1997) can then provide</DIV>
    <DIV>enough delay for the Price to reagain its strenght, and if that level 
    also doesn't hold then</DIV>
    <DIV>the UpTrend since start in 1994-5 will be &quot;50%&quot; corrected 
    with a Trends' end around 5800.</DIV>
    <DIV>Once this IMT correction period is over, then the three (a),(b),(c) 
    Waves will have been set.</DIV>
    <DIV>As such the &quot; Rounded 1&nbsp; &quot; at the top of the chart 
    should be read as &quot; Rounded 5 &quot;, and</DIV>
    <DIV>this includes that for the Primary Waves an A of the A,B,C is 
    developing, which includes the</DIV>
    <DIV>the smaller ones.</DIV>
    <DIV>Note as well that an Irregular Bullish Reversal Head+Shoulders, a 
    broadening bottom pattern</DIV>
    <DIV>formation, is now also under construction, and when the above 7800 
    level will hold as support,</DIV>
    <DIV>will imply a return to the former Tops High. This will well be in the 
    next year, but is no guarantee</DIV>
    <DIV>that the former Long Term UpTrend, started in 1994-5, will be 
    continued.</DIV>
    <DIV>The Horizontal Trade Zones, eg the double tiled horizontaly Sideways 
    Trend Channels with as</DIV>
    <DIV>their borders 9200, 8400 and 7600 are the for the moment Support &amp; 
    Resistance levels.</DIV>
    <DIV>Any breach of these levels will force to do Channeling again.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>
    <DIV><FONT size=3>Regards,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=3>Ton Maas</FONT></FONT> </DIV></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>
    <DIV align=left><IMG align=baseline 
    src="cid:00f401be0ec7$353fb180$4ef2fea9@xxxxxx";>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV></DIV><IMG align=baseline 
    src="cid:00f701be0ec7$353fb180$4ef2fea9@xxxxxx";> 
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Chart 1 - Elliott Wave Degrees Table (Labling the Waves 
    Distributions)</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Chart 2 - A Triangle of which, when mirrored, a bearish 
    version currently was developing </FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Targets for wave 2<BR>Wave 2 minimally retraces 38.2% and 
    mostly 61.8% or more of wave 1. It often<BR>stops at subwave 4 and more 
    often at subwave 2 of previous wave 1. A retrace<BR>of more than 76% is 
    highly suspicious, although it doesn&rsquo;t break any rules 
    yet.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Targets for wave A<BR>After a Triangle in a fifth wave, 
    wave A retraces to wave 2 of the Triangle<BR>of previous wave 5. When wave A 
    is part of a Triangle, B or 4 it often retraces<BR>38.2% of the complete 
    previous 5 wave (so not only the fifth of the fifth)<BR>into the territory 
    of the previous 4th wave. In a Zigzag it often retraces<BR>61.8% of the 
    fifth wave.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Targets for wave B<BR>In a Zigzag wave B mostly retraces 
    38.2% or 61.8% of wave A. In a Flat, it<BR>is approximately equal to wave A. 
    In an Expanded Flat, it usually will travel<BR>a distance of 138.2% of wave 
    A.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Targets for wave C<BR>Wave C minimally has a length of 
    61.8% of wave A. It could be shorter in which<BR>case it normally is a 
    failure, which foretells an acceleration in the 
    opposite<BR>direction.<BR>Generally wave C is equal to wave A or travels a 
    distance of 161.8% of wave A.<BR>Wave C often reaches 161.8% of the length 
    of wave A in an Expanded Flat.<BR>In a contracting Triangle wave C often is 
    61.8% of wave A.</FONT> </DIV></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV>From: Tommaso Galanti &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:galantit@xxxxxx";>galantit@xxxxxx</A>&gt;</DIV>
    <DIV>To: &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;</DIV>
    <DIV>Sent: donderdag 12 november 1998 0:44</DIV>
    <DIV>Subject: Re: Question from a newcome - Fw: LET OP DOW 
ELWAVE</DIV></DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>&gt;Ton,<BR>&gt;would you be so kind to explain some of these 
    points of view?<BR>&gt;Thanks and best regards<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;Tommaso 
    Galanti<BR>&gt;Italy<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;A.J. Maas wrote:<BR>&gt;&gt; Find 
    attached an simple ELWAVE analysis chart as an example,<BR>&gt;&gt; that I 
    received today.<BR>&gt;&gt; I find it very effective to see the market from 
    lots of different angles as<BR>&gt;&gt; the one can then confirm the 
    other.<BR>&gt;.... &lt;snip&gt;&lt;snip&gt; ....<BR>&gt;&gt; 
    Regards,<BR>&gt;&gt; Ton Maas<BR>&gt;&gt; <A 
    href="mailto:ms-irb@xxxxxx";>ms-irb@xxxxxx</A> </BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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