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CBS MarketWatch - Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch downgrade chip equipment stocks 11-02-98


  • To: Joe Frabosilio <joe6964@xxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: CBS MarketWatch - Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch downgrade chip equipment stocks 11-02-98
  • From: Harley Meyer <meyer@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:27:02 -0400 (EST)

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[Image]Ahhh, some possible relief.
Harley
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/archive/19981102/news/current/chipequip.htx?source=blq/yhoo&dist=yhoo
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<IMG SRC="cid:part1.363E73D1.6F4561E5@xxxxxxxxxxx"; HEIGHT=133 WIDTH=144>Ahhh,
some possible relief.
<BR>Harley
<BR>http://cbs.marketwatch.com/archive/19981102/news/current/chipequip.htx?source=blq/yhoo&amp;dist=yhoo</HTML>
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    <td valign="top" width="445"><font face="Arial" size="5"><strong>MSDW cuts chip equipment
    makers<br>
    Merrill also bearish on 1999 outlook</strong></font><br>
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        <td width="66%"><em>By Stephanie O'Brien, CBS
        MarketWatch<br>
        <font size="2">Last Update: 4:47 PM ET Nov 2, 1998</font></em></td>
        <td width="34%" valign="top" align="right"><font face="Arial" size="2">NewsWatch</font></td>
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    </div><p>NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Shares of several semiconductor equipment makers dropped
    after Morgan Stanley Dean Witter cut their ratings due to a weak industry forecast, even
    as the stocks approached or hit analysts' price targets.</p>
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				<tr><td><font face='Arial' size='2'><a href='/news/newsroom.htx?dist=snap?source=blq/yhoo&dist=hdlnbug'>U.S. stocks close higher</a></font></td></tr><tr><td><font face='Arial' size='2'><a href='/archive/19981102/news/current/silicon.htx?dist=snap?source=blq/yhoo&dist=hdlnbug'>Tech group led by Net, network shares</a></font></td></tr><tr><td><font face='Arial' size='2'><a href='/archive/19981102/news/current/screamers.htx?dist=snap?source=blq/yhoo&dist=hdlnbug'>Medtronic to buy Sofamor Danek</a></font></td></tr><tr><td><font face='Arial' size='2'><a href='/archive/19981102/news/current/msft.htx?dist=snap?source=blq/yhoo&dist=hdlnbug'>Bill Gates denies knowing very much</a></font></td></tr><tr><td><font face='Arial' size='2'><a href='/archive/19981102/news/current/stwatch.htx?dist=snap?source=blq/yhoo&dist=hdlnbug'>Half-full or empty, Sonic results seen</a></font></td></tr>
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      <tr><td><font face='Arial' size='1'>Updated:<br>11/2/98 6:00:56 PM&nbsp;ET</font></td></tr>
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    </div><p>Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (MWD)
    analysts Jay Deanha and Steven Palayo downgraded semiconductor-equipment makers ASM
    Lithography (ASMLF),
    DuPont Photomasks (DPMI),
    KLA-Tencor (KLAC),
    LAM Research (LRCX)
    and Silicon Valley Group (SVGI)
    to &quot;neutral&quot; from &quot;outperform.&quot;</p>
    <p>&quot;The stocks all hit target prices,&quot; Deahna said. Because he doesn't see
    industry conditions improving any time soon, it's &quot;not wise to raise earnings
    estimates&quot; at this time, he said. </p>
    <p>In a report to clients, Deahna and Palayo said they don't see a meaningful
    capacity-based new order recovery for the equipment industry until mid-1999.</p>
    <p>They also see the market for DRAM memory chips, used in personal computers, weakening
    after the holiday season. They don't expect equipment stocks to withstand falling demand
    for the chips. </p>
    <p>The analysts also said that assembly utilization rates for integrated circuits are
    approaching a seasonal peak at fairly low levels. &quot;Conseqently, we do not believe
    utilization rates will reach a point where broad-based equipment ordering is necessary for
    several quarters,&quot; they said.</p>
    <p>ASM Lithography fell 1 3/16 to close at 24 5/16; DuPont Photomasks dropped 2 1/4 to
    close at 34; KLA-Tencor closed down 2 5/16 at 34 9/16; LAM Research fell 3/16 to close at
    14 1/46; and Silicon Valley Group closed down 1 3/16 to 11 5/8.</p>
    <p><font face="Arial" size="4"><strong>The bull growls like a bear </strong></font></p>
    <p>In a similar vein, Merrill Lynch (MER) analyst
    Mark FitzGerald said that a recovery in Applied Materials' (AMAT)
    business is largely dependent on the DRAM and foundry businesses. Foundry businesses, such
    as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM),
    make chips and other products on contract for companies that don't have factories of their
    own.</p>
    <p>Last week, Taiwan Semiconductor, the largest foundry supplier in the world, told
    analysts it cut 1998 capital spending to between $825 million and $850 million, down from
    $1 billion, FitzGerald said. The company also said it expects 1999 spending to be about
    $760 million, which is below the revised 1998 number. In 1997, Taiwan Semiconductor was
    Applied Materials' largest customer, accounting for about 8.5 percent of sales. </p>
    <p>FitzGerald also said he expects the semiconductor industry to be under deflationary
    pressure for most of 1999.</p>
    <p>Shares of Applied Materials closed at 33 7/16, down 1 1/4.&nbsp;<img src="/archive/images/cbsmw_fin.gif" WIDTH="51" HEIGHT="14"><br>
    <img src="/archive/images/pixel_black.gif" vspace="10" width="445" height="1"><br>
    <em>Stephanie O'Brien is a reporter for CBS
    MarketWatch.</em></p>
    <p>
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</html></x-html>From ???@??? Mon Nov 02 20:32:37 1998
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From: "Alton Stephens" <astephen@xxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: RE: Telescan, a new level of incompetence
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 21:47:10 -0500
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<DIV><SPAN class=560514402-03111998><FONT color=#0000ff face=Arial size=3>I am 
going to dump Telescan and Worden Bros like hot potato once Advanced GET and AIQ 
start reading QP data.&nbsp; I have &quot;lived&quot; with Telescan garbage for 
several years now.&nbsp; Looking forward to dumping Worden too but not as much 
as Telescan.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV><BR>
<P><FONT size=2>Al Stephens<BR>astephen@xxxxxxxx</FONT> </P>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV class=OutlookMessageHeader><FONT face="Times New Roman" 
    size=2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> 
    owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]<B>On 
    Behalf Of</B> Bill Saxon<BR><B>Sent:</B> Monday, November 02, 1998 9:04 
    PM<BR><B>To:</B> Metastock, EMail List; Fasttrack, EMail <BR><B>Subject:</B> 
    Telescan, a new level of incompetence<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>If there are any other poor fools out there 
    are still using Telescan I am curious if you are having the same problem I 
    am.&nbsp; They have gone from delivering faulty data to, in addition,&nbsp; 
    delivering no data on selected stocks, i.e. they don't recognize the 
    symbols.&nbsp; I had forty one in tonight's download.&nbsp; I refuse to 
    believe all these companies went out of business or changed their 
    symbol.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I had the same problem Friday and tried 
    again Sunday to reload.&nbsp; For some reason I thought they may be trying 
    to fix the problem.&nbsp; All to no avail.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Come the end of the month I am out of there.&nbsp; I don't 
    want to be the last man standing.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Regards,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Bill Saxon<BR><A 
    href="mailto:bsaxon@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>bsaxon@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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From: BAUDECB@xxxxxxxxxxxxx (Christian Baude)
To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: Telescan, a new level of incompetence
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 1998 04:01:05 GMT
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On Mon, 2 Nov 1998 21:47:10 -0500, you wrote:

> Looking forward to dumping Worden too but not as much asTelescan.

?? What's wrong with Worden? Aside from their folksie comments, which
I wish I could omit with a command line option.

-= Chris ß =-