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Re: [Fwd: Princeton Economics]



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Hello Bill,

<P>I am not sure what BT is you are referring to. I too see that this move
up in the market was a way to keep the market from falling further on the
poor global economic conditions. I think one thing to keep an eye on in
the press is the amount of cash that the fed is lending through the Fed.'s
discount window. This will give us an idea of some of the liquidity problems
that are out there.

<P>Harley

<P>fletch wrote:
<BLOCKQUOTE TYPE=CITE>&nbsp;Harley
<BR>&nbsp;

<P>think BT has some potential here (may get messy) on Tueesday as well
- maybe this past up-draft incineration
<BR>Thurs may have starved off some of it !&nbsp; But then again there
were alot of margin calls especially in the futures
<BR>-&nbsp; gulp !!!

<P>fletch
<BR>&nbsp;
<BR>&nbsp;

<P>Harley Meyer wrote:
<BLOCKQUOTE TYPE=CITE>&nbsp;I thought these comments were of interest so
I'll pass them along. He notes the date of October 20 which is also the
day IBM reports earnings. Here is IBM's estimate and their whisper number:
<BR>International
<BR>&nbsp;Business
<BR>&nbsp;Machines
<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
IBM&nbsp; <U>estimate - > 1.53</U> and <U>whisper - > 1.75</U>

<P>Assuming this whisper number is correct. You can be the judge of what
is going to happen on Tuesday after IBM reports and possible the market
on Wednesday.

<P>Harley&nbsp;
<HR WIDTH="90%" SIZE=4>

<P><NOBR><B>Subject: </B>Princeton Economics</NOBR>
<BR><NOBR><B>Date: </B>Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:10:59 -0700</NOBR>
<BR><NOBR><B>From: </B>"JW" &lt;abprosys@xxxxxxx></NOBR>
<BR><NOBR><B>To: </B>RealTraders Discussion Group &lt;realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx></NOBR>
<PRE>This just in from the Princeton Economics people:

Thank you for registering to our web site.&nbsp;&nbsp; No doubt many of you were
encouraged when the FED unexpectedly lowered rates.&nbsp; The talking heads
on CNBC and CNN have soothed many nerves, but because you took the time
to register, we'd like to warn you that the worst may not yet be in.

The stock market is still vulnerable to a move to 6500 on the DOW or
844-757 on S&amp;P Dec contract.&nbsp; Incidentally our Timing Models indicate
Weekly&nbsp; Panic Cycles for most major currencies.&nbsp; This will likely impact
the stock market..&nbsp; In case you're wondering,&nbsp; a Panic Cycle is a model
that tries to predict in advance the probability of an Outside Day (or a
day when the range is greater than that of the previous day). We see
Tuesday 10/20 and Friday 10/23 as the key days to watch next week.

Panic Cycles do not indicate direction, but given that the market is
rallying into this timeframe and given that we have a brick wall of 3
weekly bullish reversals at 1125.20&nbsp; 1127.90&nbsp; 1129.40 basis December
contract,&nbsp; we believe the upside is limited.&nbsp; Do you really want to
risk a potential&nbsp; over 250 points down for a potential&nbsp; 50 points up???
Maybe you will want to hold off establishing a Short Position until you
see more evidence of weakness, but you sure as heck don't want to be
long going into next week.

One broker told us that out of 350 clients he serves, not one person
wished to move money from the stock market into the safety of a money
market fund.&nbsp; NOT ONE!&nbsp;&nbsp; If you consider yourself contrarian (which of
course everyone does), what does that tell you???

It tells me that the proverbial frog is happy in his jacuzzi even though
the temperature has been rising since July 20th, 1998.&nbsp;&nbsp; It will take a
lot of pain to cause the average investor to panic.&nbsp; The average
investor, having been long the market for over 3 years, is nowhere near
his pain threshold.&nbsp; Perhaps this will not be true for much longer.

For a more detailed discussion on the vulnerabilities of the stock
market see the new article on the web by our chairman, Martin Armstrong.
&nbsp; Go to our web site:

<A HREF="http://www.pei-intl.com";>http://www.pei-intl.com

</A>Click on MAIN

On the White Page click on the article title:&nbsp; "Lower Rates--Bullish or a
Bearish Omen"

For a discussion on the Reversal System, click here:

http://www.pei-intl.com/Publications/Y1991/M0891/REVERSAL.HTM</PRE>
</BLOCKQUOTE>
</BLOCKQUOTE>
&nbsp;</HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Oct 18 14:23:04 1998
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From: "Ben John" <bjohn@xxxxxxxxxx>
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Subject: CHANGING TREND LINES
Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:55:03 -0700
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<DIV><FONT size=2>Could someone please explain to me why METASTOCK's trend lines 
change values when you change the ZOOM SCALES (- +).&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; How do 
you set stops if the trend lines changes( CRAZY) ?&nbsp; (Good question for 
JimG)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Ben</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Oct 18 15:23:07 1998
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Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:01:09 -0700 (PDT)
From: CMA <cma6@xxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Quotemonster
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Jim Michael posted some excellent information about using QuoteMonster
with Perl. There are some open questions to which some users might
have answers.
   The Quotmonster readme file says you must also install the LPQ
module. Where do you get that and exactly how do you install it and
where?
  You then have to configure QuoteMOnster. Anyone have an idea how to
do that?
  After you do the above two things, how do you set up QM to do EOD
downloads?




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