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Re: DELL danger signs



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Brooke,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT><FONT size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
Thanks for the charts and your thoughts.&nbsp; You could very well be right, but 
I think the difference this time is the over all market.&nbsp; I really believe 
that we had the blow-off bottom Thursday and I'm trying to take advantage by an 
early entry into the former market leaders.&nbsp; Of course, I've been wrong 
before and will.......&nbsp; I think the main thing is you have to think out 
your scenario, then test it, then take the actions to take advantage of it, then 
take further actions to protect yourself from disaster in case you are wrong 
&lt;G&gt;.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>JimG&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>Brookemail@xxxxxxx &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:Brookemail@xxxxxxx";>Brookemail@xxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: </B><A 
    href="mailto:metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
    &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Friday, October 09, 1998 10:16 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>DELL danger 
    signs<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>I've attached a chart of DELL that shows the stock 
    from July to the present.<BR>You can see how some buyers might think they 
    have a leg to stand on -- albeit<BR>a very thin, shaky leg. <BR><BR>In a 
    minute I'll send another note with an attached chart of DELL in 
    October<BR>and November of last year, when it plummeted. You can see the 
    same precipitous<BR>drop back then, and the 5-day variable moving average 
    falling through the<BR>11-day VMA, as it did yesterday. You can also see how 
    the stock attempted to<BR>rally then, rose back up to the 5-day VMA and then 
    plummeted again. The 5- and<BR>11-day variable moving averages are similar 
    to the 9- and 21-day exponential<BR>averages, btw. <BR><BR>The point is that 
    you can see the danger signs this time around. The 5-day VMA<BR>has just 
    fallen through the 11-day VMA. Usually, that would be a signal to<BR>sell, 
    not to rush back in. Furthermore, parabolic SAR and the Bull/Bear 
    system<BR>remain negative. <BR><BR>This is not to rule out a sustained 
    rally. It is to suggest, though, that<BR>there might be an opportunity to 
    short the stock near the 5-day VMA (or 9-day<BR>VMA), or using another plot, 
    near the red support line at 55.5. The emphasis<BR>is on might. If the stock 
    does attempt to rise above the 5-day VMA and fails,<BR>that's all the more 
    reason to consider shorting. <BR><BR>As for buying right now, it's 
    dangerous. But whaddo I know?<BR><BR>Brooke<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sat Oct 10 14:14:15 1998
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Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:39:59 -0400
To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
From: Chuck Engstrom <engstrom@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: The gyrating Dow / Resending message
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At 03:03 PM 10/10/98 -0500, you wrote:
>
> can you please check through your numerous sources, what sort of
>data is available if one wants to plot a single point for the day.  In
>case you cannot get anything, then just send me the high/low daily of
>the Dow since , say June 1997. I wish to do some plotting on sunday.
>
>
>
>

Rajesh:

Here's the high, low, and close of the Dow since Jan 1 1997. This is a
simple text file readable with any text-editing program. Hope it is useful
despite its simplicity. 

Chuck Engstrom


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