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Re: [amibroker] Re: Multiple buy signals not taken in backtest


  • Date: Fri, 19 Feb 2010 08:59:35 +0100
  • From: reinsley <reinsley@xxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Multiple buy signals not taken in backtest

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Dont be sorry, I agree. The printed figures says that system named RSI 
25 & RSI 75 earns money.
It's better to describe a winning system when you write a book...I 
guess.    :)

Best regards

Le 18/02/2010 22:48, zozuzoza a écrit :
>
>
> Sorry, but this does not mean to me that the system is powerful. I can
> pimp any system on in-sample data.
>
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
> reinsley <reinsley@xxx> wrote:
>  >
>  >
>  > It comes from the Chapter Three
>  >
>  > High Probability ETF Trading : 7 professionnal Strategies to Improve
>  > Your ETF Trading
>  > By Larry Connors & Cesar Alvarez
>  >
>  > System created in 2003 and first published in 2004
>  >
>  > LC gives results of tests.
>  >
>  > Best regards
>  >
>  >
>  > Le 17/02/2010 23:07, zozuzoza a écrit :
>  > >
>  > >
>  > > Hi,
>  > > How do you know that this system is powerful if you have not managed to
>  > > code it, i.e. backtest it?
>  > > Br,
>  > > Zozu
>  > >
>  > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> <mailto:amibroker%40yahoogroups.com> <mailto:amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
>  > > "cvanhaesendonck" <carl.van@> wrote:
>  > > >
>  > > > I posted some days ago but got no answer; however this system is
>  > > powerfull yet simple: it scales in after the initial signal then exit
>  > > quickly as soon as RSI(2) oberbought.
>  > > > Problem I struggle with the code below: I can see the multiple buy
>  > > entry arrows on the chart but backtest will only take the initial
> signals.
>  > > > Please help with this - in return you will discover a very
>  > > interesting system. Here we go:
>  > > >
>  > > > The system is simple:
>  > > > - buy 10% of your position (for exempla, 100 shares) when RSI(2) is
>  > > below 25 for 2 consecutive bars; close must be above the 200 EMA.
>  > > > - buy 20% of the position if, any time after the initial buy above,
>  > > close < ref(close,-1)
>  > > > - buy 30% of the pôsition if, any time after the buy above, close <
>  > > ref(close,-1)
>  > > > - buy 40% of the position if, any time after the buy above, close <
>  > > ref(close,-1)
>  > > >
>  > > > You now own 1,000 shares. Don't buy anymore.
>  > > > Just wait and sell all when RSI(2 periods) rise above 70.
>  > > >
>  > > > Please see the code below and tell me what is wrong - I am struggling
>  > > with this for days now as the backtest takes only the initial "10%"
> trade...
>  > > >
>  > > > bull= C> EMA(C,200) AND Sum(RSI(2)< 25==2;
>  > > > bear= C< EMA(C,200) AND Sum(RSI(2)>25==2;
>  > > > Buy=0;
>  > > > Short= 0;
>  > > >
>  > > > Sell= Cross(RSI(2),70) ;
>  > > > Cover=Cross(70,RSI(2)) ;
>  > > > bull200= C<Ref(C,-1) AND BarsSince(Bull)<BarsSince(Sell) AND
>  > > Ref(Sum(Bull,BarsSince(Sell)),-1)==1;
>  > > > bear200= C>Ref(C,-1) AND BarsSince(bear)<BarsSince(Cover) AND
>  > > Ref(Sum(bear,BarsSince(Cover)),-1)==1;
>  > > > bull300= C<Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(Sum(Bull200,BarsSince(Sell)),-1)==1 ;
>  > > > bear300= C>Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(Sum(bear200,BarsSince(Cover)),-1)==1 ;
>  > > > bull400= C<Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(Sum(Bull300,BarsSince(Sell)),-1)==1 ;
>  > > > bear400= C>Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(Sum(bear300,BarsSince(Cover)),-1)==1 ;
>  > > > SetPositionSize(IIf(Sum(Buy,BarsSince(Sell))==1,
>  > >
> 100,IIf(Sum(Buy,BarsSince(Sell))==2,200,IIf(Sum(Buy,BarsSince(Sell))==3,300,IIf(Sum(Buy,BarsSince(Sell))==4,400,Null)))),4);
>  > > > SetPositionSize(IIf(Sum(Short,BarsSince(Sell))==1,
>  > >
> 100,IIf(Sum(Short,BarsSince(Sell))==2,200,IIf(Sum(Short,BarsSince(Sell))==3,300,IIf(Sum(Short,BarsSince(Sell))==4,400,Null)))),4);
>  > > > Buy= IIf(Sum(Bull,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND
>  > > Sum(Bull200,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND Sum(Bull300,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND
>  > > Sum(Bull400,BarsSince(Sell))<4 ,bull OR bull200 OR bull300 OR
> bull400,Null);
>  > > > Short= IIf(Sum(Bear,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND
>  > > Sum(Bear200,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND Sum(Bear300,BarsSince(Sell))<4 AND
>  > > Sum(Bear400,BarsSince(Sell))<4,bear OR bear200 OR bear300 OR
> bear400, Null);
>  > > > Sell=ExRem(Sell,Buy);
>  > > > Cover=ExRem(Cover,Short);
>  > > >
>  > > > PlotShapes(Buy*shapeUpArrow,colorBlue,0,L,-10);
>  > > > PlotShapes(Short*shapeDownArrow,colorRed,0,H,-10);
>  > > > PlotShapes(Sell*shapeSmallCircle,colorBlue,0,H,10);
>  > > > PlotShapes(Cover*shapeSmallCircle,colorRed,0,L,-10);
>  > > >
>  > > > Thanks,
>  > > > Carl
>  > > >
>  > >
>  > >
>  >
>
> 



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