[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

[amibroker] Re: Walk Forward Result Not Accurate?



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

I've noticed this effect also, and never quite figured out why the equity curve was different than the raw numbers for a WF run.

I've always gone with the lowest number, to err on the side of conservatisim. But it would be nice to know why the difference occurs.



--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Howard B <howardbandy@xxx> wrote:
>
> Hi Jack --
> 
> Can you provide more information?  Code being used, setup for walk forward,
> etc.  Send me a private message, if you wish.  howard at blueowlpress dot
> com.
> 
> Thanks,
> Howard
> 
> 
> On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 12:24 PM, jacklweinberg <jacklweinberg@xxx>wrote:
> 
> >
> >
> > I seem to have a major discrepancy in the AB walk forward analysis.
> > 1. The (partial) results of a walk forwrd analysis:
> > Mode Begin End No. Net Profit
> > OOS 1/1/2004 12/31/2004 1 15127.33
> > OOS 1/1/2005 12/31/2005 1 20248.16
> > OOS 1/1/2006 12/31/2006 1 33777.22
> > OOS 1/1/2007 12/31/2007 1 10681.52
> > OOS 1/1/2008 12/31/2008 1 18440.27
> >
> > This shows that the out of sample Net Profit is: $98274.5
> > (adding up the Net Profit column for the OOS mode).
> >
> > However, in the ~~~OSEQUITY indicator, the total net profit is $118594
> > a difference of $20,320! very significant! Which one do I believe?
> >
> > This happens on EVERY walk Forward Analysis -
> > Is there something wrong? Why such a difference?
> >
> > NOTE: ~~~OSEQUITY is over the same period, i.e. 1/1/2004 - 12/31/2008.
> >
> >  
> >
>




------------------------------------

**** IMPORTANT PLEASE READ ****
This group is for the discussion between users only.
This is *NOT* technical support channel.

TO GET TECHNICAL SUPPORT send an e-mail directly to 
SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com

TO SUBMIT SUGGESTIONS please use FEEDBACK CENTER at
http://www.amibroker.com/feedback/
(submissions sent via other channels won't be considered)

For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/

Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    mailto:amibroker-digest@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    mailto:amibroker-fullfeatured@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    amibroker-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/