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This is a weird problem. It has become apparent to me that the backtester is not adhering to the specified date range.
For example, I have a simple Forex test system that Buys on the first bar, and sells when there is 100 pips profit, or 5 days have elapsed (loss). Then it re-enters the trade on the next available bar. So there should be a Buy at the very first bar. But when I backtest on a date range like 6/21/2007 - 7/21/2007, the first Buy occurs on 6/26/2007, instead of 6/21.
It was very basic AFL and I could not find any flaw in logic. So someone advised me to install Debug View and add trace statements.
What I found is that the backtest engine is going all the way back to the begining of my actual database (April 1998) and applying the AFL, but only showing me results post 6/21/2007. The "phantom" Buys and Sells that occur prior to 6/21/2007 makes the backtester think it is already in a trade when it officially starts on 6/21. And it's only when the "phantom" Sell occurs on 6/26 that it shows the first official Buy on that date in the backtester trade report.
How could this be?
Any help much appreciated.
Below is the code with all the backtester settings. Please ignore the trace statements. They are only for debugging. As you can see, the code is very basic, (for testing purposes only):
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // // SIMPLE TEST SYSTEM: // // BUY AT FIRST BAR, THEN SELL AT 100 PIPS PROFIT OR AFTER 7200 ONE-MINUTE BARS (5 DAYS). // RE-ENTER ON THE NEXT BAR AFTER A SELL. // //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// ----------------------------------------------------------------------- // Variables // -----------------------------------------------------------------------
Profit = 0.0100; bars = 7200; maxContractsPerPair = 1; maxPairsTraded = 1; Slippage = 0.0002;
// ----------------------------------------------------------------------- // BackTester Settings // -----------------------------------------------------------------------
tradeDelay = 1;
SetBarsRequired(10000, 10000); // Ensures that the charts include all bars AND NOT just those on screen SetOption("AccountMargin", 100); // Account margin, 100 = no margin SetOption("ActivateStopsImmediately", False); // Intraday stops ? SetOption("AllowPositionShrinking", False); // Take partial trades if equity available ? SetOption("AllowSameBarExit", True); // Allow same bar exit for profit stops ? SetOption("CommissionAmount", 4.00); // Commission amount SetOption("CommissionMode", 3); // 3 = $ per share/contract SetOption("FuturesMode", 1); // = use MarginDeposit and PointValue in calculations SetOption("InitialEquity", 100000); // Initial equity $ SetOption("InterestRate",0); // Set interest rate earned for free cash, zero to evaluate system SetOption("MaxOpenPositions", maxPairsTraded * maxContractsPerPair); SetOption("MinPosValue", 0); // Min position value to make trade worthwhile, 0 = no limit SetOption("MinShares", 1); // Min number shares SetOption("PriceBoundChecking", False ); // Price to stay in bar range ? SetOption("ReverseSignalForcesExit", False); SetOption("UsePrevBarEquityForPosSizing", True ); // Use last known bar for position sizing ? SetTradeDelays(tradeDelay, tradeDelay, tradeDelay, tradeDelay); SetPositionSize(1, spsShares);
if (maxContractsPerPair > 1) SetBacktestMode(backtestRegularRawMulti);
// In AmiBroker, make sure that Symbol Information is properly set up for each pair, esp. currency field. // Also, under AmiBroker main menu, make sure to set Tools --> Preferences --> Currencies for each pair
RoundLotSize = 1; MarginDeposit = 2000; PointValue = 100000;
// ----------------------------------------------------------------------- // Trading System Formula // -----------------------------------------------------------------------
BuyPrice = Open + Slippage; ShortPrice = Open - Slippage; SellPrice = Open - Slippage; CoverPrice = Open + Slippage;
// Set up some variables to give us info on current position wasLong = reachedProfitLevel = buySignal = sellSignal = barToExitLong = 0;
// Set up variables for our entry values, as our stops will test against the initial entry prices valueAtBuy = Null; profitLevel = Null;
// Number of open contracts longContractCount = 0;
// Debugging arrays dateArray = DateNum(); timeArray = TimeNum();
for (i = 0; i < (BarCount-TradeDelay); i++) { // Remember if a position is currently open, so we do not re-enter in the same direction on the same bar wasLong = longContractCount > 0;
// Check for conditions to exit a long trade if (longContractCount > 0) { reachedProfitLevel = C[i] > profitLevel;
if (reachedProfitLevel) { _TRACE("bar=" + i + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",dateArray[i]) + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",timeArray[i]) + " reached long ProfitLevel"); sellSignal[i] = 3; // 3 = profit : this behavior emulates the Equity(1) functionality longContractCount = 0; }
// Sell at loss else if ( i == barToExitLong) { _TRACE("bar=" + i + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",dateArray[i]) + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",timeArray[i]) + " reached barToExitLong"); sellSignal[i] = 2; // 2 = max loss : this behavior emulates the Equity(1) functionality longContractCount = 0; } } // Long entry if ( NOT wasLong ) { _TRACE("bar=" + i + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",dateArray[i]) + " " + StrFormat("%06.0f",timeArray[i]) + " not was long"); buySignal[i] = 1; longContractCount = 1; valueAtBuy = BuyPrice[i+tradeDelay]; profitLevel = valueAtBuy + Profit; barToExitLong = i + bars; // 5 days later } }
// This logic is needed to workaround strange undocumented backtester behavior when the sell/cover arrays are non-boolean. Sell = sellSignal != 0; Buy = buySignal;
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