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[amibroker] Re: timing a system



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Use the z-score of a Runs Test.
http://www.mypivots.com/articles/glossary.aspx?qterm=Z-Score

Ralph Vince covers this in his books too, including his latest:
"The Handbook of Portfolio Mathematics".

Mike

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "foxblade2000invest" <foxblade@xxx> 
wrote:
>
> I'm wondering about methods for determining when a system no longer
> works.  I've read people suggesting you should ride a system until 
it
> stops working, then jump onto another system that's currently 
working
> - and focus less on long term historical performance (I'm not
> advocating this).
> 
> What methods are there for determing is a system is working -
> obviously if there's a really smooth equity curve, you can look for
> deviation form that curve. But I wonder if you might have to give 
back
> your gains before this becomes obvious, in the real world.
> 
> Are there other methods to consider?
> 
> All conributiosn appreciated,
> Rich
>



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