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[amibroker] Re: I'm having a hard time explaining this



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ts,

Did you ever get an answer to this question? I believe that I've run 
into the same issue as posted in #114449 
http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/114449 which 
might present the case a little more clearly. I would have thought 
that this would be a common request.

Thanks

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "techsmart" <mric@xxx> wrote:
>
> 
> Maybe someone here can help.
> 
> PositionScore alone will not do what I want.
> 
> The day before trade entry I scan for POTENTIAL entries.  I get up 
to 
> 40 or 50 signals.  On the next day I use a limit order a certain 
> percentage below the prior day close as an entry.  However, I do 
not 
> want to end up with too many buys, so I rank the potential entries 
by 
> ROC(C,40) and take the top 'x'(usually about 5 to 10) number of 
> signals and enter them as limit orders.  This way I can be sure to 
> not overextend my equity.  Of those limit orders I can have 
anywhere 
> from 0 to all filled.
> 
> I have the system worked out in the AB backtester except that 
> PositionScore and MaxPositions does not accurately simulate what 
> really happens.  Using these filters, will result in the system 
> taking the 'x' number of entries with the highest ROC amongst all 
> those that got hit.  This is not reality, but based on the EOD data 
> on the day of entry.
> 
> What I need is to have the backtester take all the signals and then 
> RANK them by ROC(C,40) and then take the top 'x' (say 5 or 10) and 
> use those as the basket to trade the next day.  Of those 'x' number 
> of signals, anywhere from 0 to x may be entered, but this will be a 
> realistic backtest...just as I trade the system.
> 
> Below is an exchange with AB support.  I have not made clear what I 
> am trying to do, but maybe it will help explain it.
> 
> In sum:  I want to rank all signals by some filter factor and then 
> take the top 'x' number to use as potential buys the next day, 
> discarding all those that fall below a certain RANK.  Hard cutoffs 
> will not give me a specific number of signals.  For instance, if I 
> used ROC(C,40) > 20, some days I would get no signals and other 
days 
> I might get 30.
> 
> Anyone know how this might be done?
> 
> I think the 'for' loop might do, but not sure.
> 
> ts
> 
> ---------------------------
> Marcin,
> 
> I did not make myself clear.
> 
> If you have signals the day before and a group of possible entries 
> that are 
> entered intraday THE NEXT DAY with a limit order, using 
PositionScore 
> and 
> MaxPositions does not simulate reality.  Using that method, the 
> backtester 
> will take the top x number of trades based on PositionScore, but in 
> reality 
> you would have no idea which trades would hit their limit order 
> first, so 
> would not know until EOD which of the PositionScore ranked trades 
you 
> would 
> take.
> 
> SO... the point is...
> 
> I need a method to rank all the potential signals on the day PRIOR 
to 
> entry. 
> Then take x number of them (say 10) and only use those as entries 
on 
> the 
> next day.
> 
> Can I do this:  Take a list of symbols that pass a filter.... say 
> perhaps 40 
> symbols, then rank them by some factor, such as ROC(C,40), then use 
> only the 
> top 10 (for example) as potential trades the next day.  Of those 
10, 
> only 
> the ones that hit a certain limit order would be bought.
> 
> I need a way to rank and filter the signals from the day before and 
> then 
> strip off those below a certain rank.  PositionScore does this 
after 
> the 
> fact...EOD on the entry day and this is not the way the system 
really 
> works.
> 
> Hope I am expressing myself clearly.  I know it is confusing.
> 
> 
> 
> Subject: Re: [#16654] Ranking signals for possible entry the day 
> before
> 
> 
> > Helo,
> >
> > You can use PositionScore variable in your formula and define the 
> criteria
> > you use.
> > (and combine it with the Maximum open positions limit)
> >
> > See:
> > http://www.amibroker.com/guide/h_portfolio.html
> >
> >
> > Best regards
> >
> > Marcin Gorzynski
> > Amibroker.com Technical Support
> >
> > Subject: [#16654] Ranking signals for possible entry the day 
before
> >
> >
> > First let me say that Amibroker is a wonderful tool for system 
> development
> > and backtesting.  I've used many others and find that Amibroker 
has 
> all 
> > the
> > capabilities I've been looking for.  I've already given you a 
> favorable
> > review on the Elite Trader message board and will continue to 
> recommend 
> > your
> > software to others.  It's very capable and FAST!  Thanks!
> >
> >
> > V. 4.65.2
> >
> > My question:
> >
> > My system finds potential signals on the day before entry.  There 
> may be
> > anywhere from 0 to 50 potential signals on any one day.
> >
> > Entries are made the NEXT day on a limit order.  So, I cannot be 
> sure how
> > many of those limit orders will be hit.  I can simply limit the 
> number of
> > orders I submit, but this does not seem to be a very good way to 
> backtest
> > and does not simulate what I do in reality.  In testing I have 
> found that
> > filtering on certain parameters can improve results (such as 
taking 
> those
> > signals for stocks with the greatest 40 day ROC).  I can test 
this 
> in the
> > backtester with the portfolio option using positionscore, but 
this 
> is
> > unrealistic, because there might have been 20 limit orders hit 
> intraday 
> > and
> > the backtester will take the 2 (or whatever MaxOpenPositions 
number 
> I have
> > specified) with the best ROC, something I would not have been 
able 
> to
> > predict intraday when limit orders are getting hit at various 
> different
> > times.
> >
> > What I would like to do is this:  On the day before entry (the 
> signal 
> > day),
> > I would like to be able to rank all the possible signals by some 
> factor,
> > such as 40 day ROC.  This still leaves some uncertainty about how 
> many
> > actual entries you'll get, but it would prevent the backtester 
from 
> doing
> > something that couldn't be done in reality and would put an upper 
> limit on
> > the number of trades taken.
> >
> > So...to summarize:
> >
> > Can the backtester take all the potential signals on day -1 and 
> rank them
> > according to some factor (say, ROC(C,40)) and then just use a 
> limited 
> > subset
> > of all the signals to use as actual limit orders on the next 
day.  
> Hard
> > cut-offs, like ROC(C,40) > 20, don't work because that can give 
you 
> many
> > signals one day and none the next.  What is needed is a relative 
> ranking 
> > or
> > scoring, so that the backtester will only take, for example, the 
5 
> stocks
> > with the highest ROC40, all the others being discarded.
> >
> > I think the 'for loop' may be the way to do this, but I'm not 
> skilled 
> > enough
> > to be able to sort it out.
> >
> > Thanks very much for your help and for a great trading tool.
> >
> 
> >
> >
>




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